Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, December 15, 2022
BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 43%
Up 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on seven polls, ranging from 39% (Reuters) to 46% (Rasmussen). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (down 2 from yesterday), putting him at 9 points net negative.
PRESIDENT
Among voters statewide
REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
- Ron DeSantis over Donald Trump: +14 (52-38) WSJ
- Donald Trump over Mike Pence: +35 (63-28) WSJ
RON’S COMMENT: Another national poll of Republicans showing DeSantis beating Trump for the GOP presidential nomination. But notice how Pence loses to Trump by a wide margin in the same poll.
BRITTANY GRINER SWAP
Among voters nationwide
Do you approve or disapprove of the prisoner swap in which Russia released American basketball player Brittney Griner in exchange for the U.S. releasing Russian arms dealer Viktor Bout?
- Approve: 41%
- Disapprove: 51%
- Not sure: 9%
RON’S COMMENT: 66% of Democrats, 18% of Republicans and 27% of independents approve of the Griner-for-Bout swap…. Also, 65% of voters think the U.S. government should be doing more to secure the release of former U.S. Marine Paul Whelan.
FAVORABILITY RATINGS
Among voters nationwide
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
- Joe Biden: 43%/54%
- Donald Trump: 36%/59%
- Kamala Harris: 35%/55%
- Ron DeSantis: 43%/39%
- Mike Pence: 30%/54%
- *Brittney Griner: 36%/44%
RON’S COMMENT: Biden does better than Trump in this Wall Street Journal poll and DeSantis does better than everybody else. While Biden is 11 points net negative, Harris is even worse––20 points under water…. *The numbers on Brittney Griner are from the latest Economist/YouGov poll.
BIDEN HANDLING OF ISSUES
Among voters
% = Approve/Disapprove
- Response to Russia’s invasion to Ukraine: 42%/53%
- Energy policy: 40%/56%
- Guns: 36%/61%
- The economy: 36%/62%
- Immigration: 35%/61%
- China: 33%/61%
- Inflation: 30%/67%
RON’S COMMENT: Biden is net negative on every issue tested in this poll. It should be noted that his approval rating for handling the Ukraine situation has stayed within a fairly tight range of 40% to 44% since the war began.
TRUMP AND 2020
Among voters nationwide
In thinking about the 2020 presidential election and former President Donald Trump’s efforts to change the results, do you think former President Trump committed a crime, or not?
- Yes, he committed a crime: 50%
- No, he did not commit a crime: 42%
RON’S COMMENT: Since April, the percentage saying Trump committed a crime went up 4 points and those saying he did not commit a crime went down 7 points.
QUICK START TO PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY SEASON
by Ron Faucheux
Democrats are changing their presidential primary schedule. President Biden and party leaders are aiming to knock out Iowa as the first caucus and New Hampshire as the first primary. Instead, South Carolina would go first in early February; three days later would be Nevada and New Hampshire. A week from then would come Georgia and two weeks thereafter, Michigan.
The Democratic National Committee will make a final decision in February.
Looking back at 2020, Iowa voted first, followed by New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina––all within 26 days. Soon after came Super Tuesday with California, Texas and a dozen other states.
READ MORE
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
FAVORABILITY RATINGS: Wall Street Journal, Dec. 3-7
BIDEN HANDLING OF ISSUES, UKRAINE: Fox News, Dec. 9-12
TRUMP AND 2020: Quinnipiac, Dec. 8-12
Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron
Follow here to get the latest updates on the Lunchtime Politics.
Be the first to comment