LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Stock Market, Economic Expectations, Inflation – Mississippi, Texas Abortion Laws – Hill Leader Ratings

Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, November 29, 2021

Up 1 since last Tuesday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 44% (Quinnipiac, Trafalgar) to 47% (Politico, Reuters). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 51% today (same as Monday), making him 6 points net negative.

Among voters nationwide

The economy: Overall, do you think the economy is getting better or worse? 
Getting better: 17%
About the same: 25%
Getting worse: 51%
Not sure: 8%
RON’S COMMENT: 22% of Democrats, 79% of Republicans, 59% of independents, 53% of those with incomes below $50k, 57% of those with incomes $50-100k and 41% of those with incomes above $100k say the economy is getting worse.
Expectations for the stock market: Do you think the stock market will be higher or lower 12 months from now? 
Higher: 24%
About the same: 23%
Lower: 27%
Not sure: 26%
RON’S COMMENT: 34% of Democrats, 12% of Republicans, 21% of independents, 23% of those with incomes below $50k, 20% of those with incomes $50-100k and 31% of those with incomes above $100k say the stock market will be higher 12 months from now

InflationHow much has inflation (rising prices) affected your life recently?

% = A great deal/some
All U.S. adults: 77%
Democrats: 69%
Republicans: 90%
Independents: 79%

RON’S COMMENT: Most Americans believe rising prices are affecting their lives. Here’s the political implication: 57% blame President Biden. (Inflation questions from a poll by YouGov for Yahoo News.)

Among voters nationwide

% = Approve/Disapprove
Chuck Schumer: 33%/48% 
Mitch McConnell: 29%/64% 
Nancy Pelosi: 38%/52% 
Kevin McCarthy: 26%/50%
RON’S COMMENT: All four Hill leaders have steeply net negative ratings among all voters nationiwde…. But––Democratic Congressional leaders are much more popular among their own party’s rank-and-file than Republican Congressional leaders are among their own party’s rank-and-file–– 

  • Among Democrats, Pelosi is 77% approve/14% disapprove
  • Among Democrats, Schumer is 63% approve/16% disapprove 
  • Among Republicans, McCarthy is 46% approve/29% disapprove 
  • Among Republicans, McConnell is 35% approve/45% disapprove 

Among voters nationwide

Texas LawThe Texas State Legislature passed a law banning abortions after 6 weeks of pregnancy, and allowing people to sue healthcare providers for facilitating abortions. Do you approve or disapprove of this law?  
Approve: 38%
Disapprove: 52%
Not sure: 11%
RON’S COMMENT: 17% of Democrats, 63% of Republicans and 36% of independents approve of the Texas abortion law.
Mississippi LawEarlier the Mississippi State Legislature passed a law banning abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy. Do you approve or disapprove of this law?
Approve: 44%
Disapprove: 43%
Not sure: 13%
RON’S COMMENT: The Mississippi abortion law does much better than the Texas law. 20% of Democrats, 68% of Republicans and 46% of independents approve of the Mississippi law.

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
INFLATION: Yahoo News/YouGov, Nov. 17-19

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

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