LUNCHTIME POLITICS: National Defense – Deficits and Taxes – New Hampshire Primary

Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, April 11, 2019

Down 2 from yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 39% (Reuters) to 51% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would be 42%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (+2 from yesterday), which is 10 points higher than his approval rating.

Among voters nationwide

If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for? 
Democratic candidate: 47%
Trump: 40%
It depends: 11%
RON’S COMMENT: Last week in this poll, the generic Democrat beat Trump 48-37

Among Democratic primary voters statewide

Joe Biden: 23% 
Bernie Sanders: 16%
Pete Buttigieg: 11% 
Elizabeth Warren: 9%
Kamala Harris: 7%
Beto O’Rourke: 6%
Cory Booker: 4%
Amy Klobuchar: 2%
John Delaney: 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 1%
Tulsi Gabbard: 1%
John Hickenlooper: 1%
Candidates with less than 1% not listed
RON’S COMMENT: This poll shows Biden beating Sanders in New Hampshire with Buttigieg moving into third place…. Biden does better among women (25%) than men (20%). Buttigieg also does better with women than men, 12% vs. 9%. Sanders, on the other hand, does a little better with men, 17% vs. 15%…. Biden’s rating in the state is now 70% favorable/18% unfavorable. While still strong, the former VP’s rating has weakened since the February poll, when it was 80% favorable/13% unfavorable…. Sanders’ rating is 67% favorable/25% unfavorable. 

Among voters nationwide

If you were setting priorities for the government these days, would you place a higher priority on reducing the budget deficit or cutting taxes? 
Reducing the budget deficit: 58%
Cutting taxes: 28% 
Don’t know: 15%
RON’S COMMENT: Democrats are more likely to say reducing the deficit than cutting taxes by 59-22, as are Republicans, by 52-33. Those with incomes above $100k are more likely to say reducing the deficit than cutting taxes by 71-22.
From what you’ve read and heard, can the nation’s long-term debt problem be solved only if some taxes go up or can it be solved without having to raise any taxes?
Only if some taxes go up: 37% 
Without having to raise any taxes: 43% 
Don’t know: 21%
RON’S COMMENT: 52% of Democrats say the debt problem can only be solved if some taxes go up, compared to 20% of Republicans who say the same.

Among adults nationwide

There is much discussion as to the amount of money the government in Washington should spend for national defense and military purposes. How do you feel about this? Do you we are spending too little, the right amount, or too much? 
Too little: 25%
About right: 43%
Too much: 29%
RON’S COMMENT: More Americans say we’re spending “too much” on defense than those saying we’re spending “too little,” although most say it’s “about right.” The 25% saying “too little” is down 12 points from two years ago, when it was 37%. The amount saying “too much” is down 2 points from two years ago. More people are gravitating to the “about right” column, which was 28% two years ago compared to 43% now…. Most recently, 40% of Republicans, 21% of independents and 14% of Democrats say defense spending is “too little.”
Do you, yourself, feel that our national defense is stronger now than it needs to be, not strong enough, or about right at the present time? 
Stronger than needs to be: 12%
Not strong enough: 31%
About right: 55%
RON’S COMMENT: The 55% saying “about right” is higher than it’s been since 1990, when 64% said so…. Now, 45% of Republicans, 24% of independents and 25% of Democrats say national defense is “not strong enough.”

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: St. Anselm College, April 3-8
NATIONAL DEFENSE: Gallup, Feb. 1-10

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