Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, March 8, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Up 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 38% (Quinnipiac) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would still be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.
TRUMP VS. GENERIC DEMOCRAT
Among voters nationwide
If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for?
Democratic candidate: 48%
Trump: 41%
Other: 2%
Not sure: 7%
Would not vote: 2%
RON’S COMMENT: Note that 48% for the generic Democrat is the same percentage received by Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Trump’s 41% is 5 points below his actual vote in 2016…. In this poll, 89% of Democrats say they will vote for the Democratic candidate and 82% of Republican voters say they will vote for Trump…. Also: 24% of independents vote for the Democrat and 33% vote for Trump––and 40% of independents are either not sure or say they would not vote…. The Democrat beats Trump by 16 points among women and Trump carries men by 5 points.
NORTH KOREA
Among voters nationwide
Do you think that the meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un was an important step toward real peace between North Korea and the United States, or do you think it was mainly for show?
Important step: 41%
Mainly for show: 48%
Not sure: 11%
RON’S COMMENT: More U.S. voters think the summit was more for show than an important step toward peace. 16% of Democrats and 67% of Republicans say it was an important step.
Do you think the meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un was successful or unsuccessful?
Successful: 23%
Unsuccessful 53%
Not sure: 24%
RON’S COMMENT: 8% of Democrats and 39% of Republicans say it was successful…. Also in the poll, only 15% of voters say that Trump got what he wanted out of the meeting and 26% say North Korea got what it wanted.
PERCEPTIONS OF 2016 ELECTION
Among voters nationwide
Millions of illegal votes were cast in the election.
True: 48%
Not true: 52%
RON’S COMMENT: 70% of Republicans believe millions of illegal votes were cast in the last election.
Russia hacked the email of Democrats in order to increase the chance that Donald Trump would win the Presidential election.
True: 56%
Not true: 44%
RON’S COMMENT: 83% of Democrats believe Russia hacked the email of Democrats to help Trump would win the Presidential election.
Russia tampered with vote tallies in order to get Donald Trump elected President.
True: 36%
Not true: 64%
RON’S COMMENT: 63% of Democrats believe Russia tampered with vote tallies to get Trump elected.
Russia created and spread fake news stories to help Donald Trump win the election.
True: 59%
Not true: 42%
RON’S COMMENT: 84% of Democrats believe Russia created and spread fake news stories to help Trump win the election.
TRUMP AND RUSSIA
Among voters nationwide
How concerned are you about improper relations between the Trump campaign and Russia?
Very/somewhat concerned: 53%
Not very/not at all concerned: 42%
Do you think any member of the Trump campaign, other than Donald Trump himself, did anything ILLEGAL in their dealings with Russian officials before the Inauguration?
Yes: 49%
No: 34%
Not sure: 16%
Do you think Donald Trump himself did anything ILLEGAL in his dealings with Russian officials before the Inauguration?
Yes: 42%
No: 42%
Not sure: 16%
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
GENERIC PRESIDENTIAL VOTE, NORTH KOREA, PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS OF 2016 ELECTION, TRUMP AND RUSSIA: The Economist/YouGov, March 3-5
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