Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, December 5, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 40% (Quinnipiac) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.
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POLL OF COLLEGE STUDENTS
Among voters nationwide
Bernie Sanders: 23%
Donald Trump: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 16%
Joe Biden: 12%
Andrew Yang: 9%
Pete Buttigieg: 8%
Michael Bloomberg: 3%
Cory Booker: 2%
Tulsi Gabbard: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: This poll of college students includes Republican and Democratic candidates. It shows Sanders is the top choice with Trump running second. Another way to look at it is Trump and other Republicans (not listed) get a total of 19% and the Democrats, combined, get 77%…. Over the past two months in this poll, Sanders is up 7 points, Warren is down 4 points, Biden is down a point and Buttigieg is up 2 points.
FAVORABILITY RATINGS
Among voters nationwide
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Donald Trump: 47% / 52%
Mike Pence: 45% / 47%
Nancy Pelosi: 41% / 52%
Chuck Schumer: 32% / 50%
Kevin McCarthy: 25% / 37%
Mitch McConnell: 31% / 53%
RON’S COMMENT: While these national leaders are generally popular among their party’s voters and very unpopular among the opposing party’s voters, let’s look at how they’re doing among independents, who are most likely to be swing voters in the next election: Trump 38%/47%, Pence 37%/32%, Pelosi 24%/46%, Schumer 20%/41%, McCarthy 18%/28%, McConnell 23%/ 39%.
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
Among adults nationwide
Health care: 18%
The economy: 15%
Social Security: 12%
Immigration: 11%
The environment: 11%
Terrorism: 6%
Gun control: 6%
Education: 5%
Medicare: 5%
Abortion: 4%
The budget deficit: 3%
Taxes: 2%
Foreign policy: 2%
Gay rights: 1%
The war in Afghanistan: 0%
RON’S COMMENT: Not much movement over the past two months: Healthcare is the same, the economy is up 1, immigration is the same and the environment is down 2. The latest poll continues to show big differences by party:
- The top three issues for Democrats are healthcare (25%), the environment (20%) and Social Security (11%).
- The top three issues for Republicans are the economy (22%), immigration (22%) and Social Security (12%).
- The top three issues for independents are healthcare (19%), the economy (14%) and Social Security (12%).
- Only Social Security made all three of the top three lists.
UK GENERAL ELECTION: 2019
Among voters in Great Britain
% = Average of two most recent polls
Conservative:42%
Labour: 32.5%
Lib Dems: 12%
SNP: 4.5%
Brexit: 3.5%
Green: 3%
RON’S COMMENT: The campaigning period is on and Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party is in first place. Over the past three weeks the Brexit Party has been sliding. The general election is a week from today, on Dec. 12.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
POLL OF COLLEGE STUDENTS: Axios/College Reaction, Dec. 2-4
FAVORABILITY RATINGS, MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE: The Economist/YouGov, Dec. 1-3
UK GENERAL ELECTION: SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph, Dec. 2-3; YouGov/The Times/Sky News, Dec. 2-3
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