Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, November 26, 2018
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Down 1 from Nov. 16
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 39% (CBS) to 51% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would be 43%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today, which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.
SENATE 2018: MISSISSIPPI
Among voters statewide
Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R): 54% over Mike Espy (D): +10 (54-44)
RON’S COMMENT: Republican Hyde-Smith posts a clear lead in this poll for the Mississippi Senate runoff. The survey finds that Hyde-Smith is leading whites 84-15. Democrat Espy is leading blacks––who account for 32% of the sample––by 98-1. The only other poll we have seen is the NBC/Marist poll taken in mid-October before the Nov. 6 election that showed Hyde-Smith leading Espy by 14 points in a two-way match-up…. The runoff is tomorrow.
POST-ELECTION FEELINGS
Among voters nationwide
How do you feel about the Democrats winning control of the U.S. House of Representatives?
Happy: 39%
Neither happy nor sad: 16%
Unhappy: 33%
RON’S COMMENT: 37% of men, 43% of women, 84% of Democrats, 28% of independents and 8% of Republicans say Democrats winning control of the U.S. House makes them happy.
ISSUE FOCUS OF CONGRESS
Among voters nationwide
What do you think should be the main focus of the new Congress?
Immigration reform: 22%
Healthcare reform: 18%
Government oversight and investigation: 12%
Balancing the budget: 11%
Gun control: 7%
Impeachment: 7%
Improving infrastructure: 6%
Increasing the minimum wage: 3%
Entitlement reform: 2%
Something else: 6%
Not sure: 7%
RON’S COMMENT: Democrats picked healthcare reform (25%) and government oversight and investigation (20%) as their two top issues. Republicans picked immigration reform (35%) and balancing the budget (20%).
CLIMATE CHANGE
Among voters nationwide
How serious a problem do you think climate change is?
Very serious: 46%
Somewhat serious: 19%
Not very serious: 30%
Not sure: 4%
RON’S COMMENT: 91% of Democrats, 62% of independents and 37% of Republicans say climate change is a “very serious” or “somewhat serious” problem.
(The first version we sent out incorrectly referred to “62% of Republicans and 37% of Republicans.”)
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
MISSISSIPPI:RRH Elections/Bold Blue Campaigns/JMC, Nov. 19-24
CLIMATE CHANGE: The Economist/YouGov, Nov. 18-20
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