LUNCHTIME POLITICS: New Poll Shows Trump’s GOP Support Collapsing

Your Daily Polling Update for Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Same as Dec. 6

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 38% (Reuters) to 46% (Rasmussen, Economist). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 54% today (same as Dec. 6), putting him at 12 points net negative.

Among voters nationwide

GENERAL ELECTION(among all voters)

  • Joe Biden over Donald Trump: +7 (47-40) Suffolk
  • Joe Biden over Donald Trump: +2 (45-43) WSJ
  • Ron DeSantis over Joe Biden: +4 (47-43) Suffolk

RON’S COMMENT: This Suffolk poll has Biden widening his national lead over Trump among all voters, but DeSantis leads Biden in the same poll––which underscores the electability issue…. The Wall Street Journal poll has the race much closer, but also with Biden ahead…. Most voters want neither Biden nor Trump: Only 23% of all voters in the Suffolk poll want Biden to run again and only 25% want Trump to run (even though he’s already announced).

  • Ron DeSantis over Donald Trump: +23 (56-33) Suffolk

RON’S COMMENT: These numbers are eye-popping. They show Trump’s re-election support among Republicans collapsing in favor of DeSantis…. In July, 60% of Republicans wanted Trump to run again. In October, it dipped to 56%. Now, only 47% want him to run again. Trump’s favorable rating among Republicans has also dropped––from 75% in October to 64% now.

Among Republicans nationwide

Which comes closer to your view even if neither is exactly right? 

  • I want Trump to run and continue the policies he pursued in office: 31% 
  • I want Republicans to continue the policies Trump pursued in office, but with a different Republican 
  • nominee for president: 61%
  • Undecided: 7%

RON’S COMMENT: By nearly a two-to-one margin, Republicans want Trumpism without Trump…. To underscore the point, in the same poll, 65% of Republicans say they want Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to run for president in 2024, while only 47% want Trump to run.

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

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