LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Georgia Senate Update

Your Daily Polling Update for Saturday, December 3, 2022

GEORGIA SENATE RUNOFF
Among voters statewide  

  • Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) over Herschel Walker (R): +4 (52-48)
    CNN
  • Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) over Herschel Walker (R): +3 (50-47)
    SurveyUSA
  • Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) over Herschel Walker (R): +2 (51-49)
    Emerson
  • POLLING AVERAGE: D +3

RON’S COMMENT: These three polls all show Warnock narrowly ahead. His average lead is now 3 points…. Ultimately, the contest will be won or lost based on turnout…. From the SurveyUSA poll report: “Warnock leads by 11 points among women; Walker leads by 6 points among men – a 17-point gender gap, nearly identical to that reported in exit polling following the November 8 general election. Warnock leads by 35 points among the youngest voters and by 11 points among voters age 35 to 49; Walker leads by 9 points among those 50 to 64, and by 22 points among voters age 65 and up. White voters back Walker by a 32-point margin; Black voters back Warnock by 77 points; Latinos back Warnock by 33 points. 95% of Democrats vote for Warnock; 88% of Republicans vote for Walker; independents break for Warnock 5:4.”

SOURCES
See polling bullets above, shows pollster name

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

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