Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, November 17, 2022
BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 42%
Same as Nov. 8
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls that were taken since the midterm elections, ranging from 37% (Reuters) to 45% (Rasmussen). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 54% today (same as Nov. 8), putting him at 12 points net negative.
NOTE: Lunchtime Politics will soon publish our analysis of how polls did in the midterm elections as election results are finalized.
PRESIDENT: 2024
Among voters statewide
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION
Multi-candidate race
Among Republican primary voters nationwide
- Donald Trump: 47%
- Ron DeSantis: 33%
- Mike Pence: 5%
- Mitt Romney: 2%
- Ted Cruz: 2%
- Nikki Haley: 1%
- Marco Rubio: 1%
- Tom Cotton: 1%
- Liz Cheney: 1%
- Larry Hogan: 1%
RON’S COMMENT: This poll shows the gap between Trump and DeSantis has narrowed to 14 points. All others are in single digits…. Interestingly, Trump does better with GOP primary voters who call themselves “moderates” than those who call themselves “conservatives” (53% vs. 45%). He does much better among those who do not have college degrees (57%) than those who do (32%). He also does better with nonmilitary households than with military households (49% to 38%). Poll by Politico/Morning Consult
Two-way race
Among Republicans nationwide
- Ron DeSantis: 46%
- Donald Trump: 39%
- Not sure: 16%
RON’S COMMENT: This poll shows DeSantis beating Trump head to head among Republicans. It also shows DeSantis beating Trump 34-21 among independents. Poll by Economist/YouGov
BIDEN IN 2024
Among voters nationwide
Run again: Do you want Joe Biden to run for president again in 2024?
- Yes: 26%
- No: 57%
- Not sure: 17%
RON’S COMMENT: Among only Democrats, 43% want Biden to run again, 32% don’t want him to run again and 25% are not sure.
Biden age: This week, Joe Biden will turn 80 years old. Do you think Joe Biden’s age might make it too difficult to do the work the presidency requires, or do you his age helps Joe Biden to have the experience and wisdom to do a good job?
- Biden’s age makes it more difficult to do the work the presidency requires: 58%
- Biden’s age gives him the experience and wisdom to do a good job: 15%
- Biden’s age has no impact on his performance as president: 17%
- Not sure: 10%
RON’S COMMENT: A solid majority of voters believe Biden’s age makes it more difficult to do the work the presidency requires. And: 39% of Democrats, 51% of independents and 75% of Republicans agree.
FEELINGS ON MIDTERM ELECTIONS
Among voters nationwide
How do you feel about the results of the 2022 congressional elections?
- Happy: 16%
- Satisfied, but not happy: 28%
- Disappointed, but not angry: 29%
- Angry: 12%
RON’S COMMENT: While 63% of Democrats are happy and satisfied about the elections, only 20% of Republicans are.
IMPORTANCE OF ISSUES IN VOTING
Among voters nationwide
How important were the following issues to you when deciding how to vote in the November 2022 congressional elections?
% = Very important
- Inflation: 70%
- Jobs and the economy: 66%
- National security: 60%
- Taxes and government spending: 58%
- Crime: 57%
- Healthcare: 53%
- Abortion: 51%
- Guns: 51%
- Education: 51%
- Immigration: 51%
- Civil rights: 47%
- Foreign policy: 45%
- Climate change and the environment: 40%
RON’S COMMENT: On inflation, 55% of Democrats, 68% of independents and 88% of Republicans said it was a very important voting issue for them…. On abortion, 71% of Democrats, 45% of independents and 33% of Republicans said it was very important…. On crime, 43% of Democrats, 52% of independents and 74% of Republicans said it was very important…. On national security, 47% of Democrats, 58% of independents and 73% of Republicans said it was very important.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
BIDEN IN 2024, IMPORTANCE OF ISSUES IN VOTING, FEELINGS ON MIDTERM ELECTIONS: The Economist/YouGov, Nov. 13-15
Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron
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