LUNCHTIME POLITICS: This is it! Final poll averages

Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, November 8, 2022

BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 42%
Same as yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 40% (Trafalgar-R) to 46% (Economist). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 54% today (same as yesterday), putting him at 12 points net negative.

SENATE: 2022 
Among voters statewide

SENATE ELECTION DAY WATCH LIST––POLL AVERAGES
 
Seats now held by Republicans:

• PENNSYLVANIA––Oz (R) over Fetterman (D): +1 
• WISCONSIN––Sen. Johnson (R) over Barnes (D): +4 
• OHIO––Vance (R) over Ryan (D): +8.3 
• NORTH CAROLINA––Budd (R) over Beasley (D): +5.7 

Seats now held by Democrats:

• NEVADA––Laxalt (R) over Sen. Cortez Masto (D): +3 
• GEORGIA––Walker (R) over Sen. Warnock (D): +1.4
• NEW HAMPSHIRE–– Sen. Hassan (D) over Bolduc (R): +1.8 
• ARIZONA––Sen. Kelly (D) over Masters (R): +1 
• WASHINGTON––Sen. Murray (D) over Smiley (R): +1 

RON’S COMMENT: The momentum in Senate races appears to be red––since yesterday’s averages, Republicans have improved their polling position in 7 states and Democrats improved their position in 2 states.

GOVERNOR: 2022 
Among voters statewide

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION DAY WATCH LIST––POLL AVERAGES
 
Seats now held by Republicans:

• ARIZONA: Lake (R) over Hobbs (D): +3.3 
• GEORGIA: Gov. Kemp (R) over Abrams (D): +8.4 
• TEXAS: Gov. Abbott (R) over O’Rourke (D): +8.5 
• FLORIDA: Gov. DeSantis (R) over Crist (D): +12.5
• OKLAHOMA: Gov. Stitt (R) over Hofmeister (D): +2.7

Seats now held by Democrats:

• NEVADA: Lombardo (R) over Gov. Sisolak (D): +3.2 
• WISCONSIN: Michels (R) over Gov. Evers (D): +0.4
• MICHIGAN: Gov. Whitmer (D) over Dixon (R): +3.7
• MINNESOTA: Gov. Walz (DFL) over Jensen (R): +12 
• PENNSYLVANIA: Shapiro (D) over Mastriano (R): +10.2
• KANSAS: Gov. Kelly (D) over Schmidt (R): +3 
• NEW MEXICO: Gov. Lujan Grisham (D) over Ronchetti (R): +4.3 
• NEW YORK: Gov. Hochul (D) over Zeldin (R): +7.3 
• OREGON: Kotek (D) over Drazan (R): +2.8 
• COLORADO: Gov. Polis (D) over Ganahl (R): +10 

RON’S COMMENT: The momentum in gubernatorial races is mixed––since yesterday’s averages, Republicans have improved their polling position in 7 states and Democrats improved their position in 7 states; 1 state is the same.

SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

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