LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Republicans More Enthusiastic – New Polls from Nevada, Ohio, North Carolina, Oregon, Massachusetts

Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, October 20, 2022

BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Up 2 from yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 40% (Reuters) to 46% (CNBC). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (down 2 from yesterday), putting him at 9 points net negative.

CONGRESSIONAL GENERIC PREFERENCE
(Average of 5 most recent nationwide polls)
Republicans: +2 (down from +4.2 Tuesday)

SENATE: 2022 
Among voters statewide

RON’S COMMENT:  

• In Nevada, the top three issues are economy/inflation, crime and immigration––all of which favor Republicans…. Cortez Masto (D) is winning Latino voters 58-40.
• Vance (R) managing to slightly increase lead in Ohio.
• New GOP poll shows Budd (R) ahead in North Carolina.

NEVADA

• Adam Laxalt (R) over Sen. Catherine Cortez (D): +1 (49-48) CBS
• Average of recent polls:  R +0.3  

OHIO

• J.D. Vance (R) over Tim Ryan (D): +4 (47-43) Cygnal-R
• Average of recent polls: R +3

NORTH CAROLINA 

• Ted Budd (R) over Cheri Beasley (D): +4 (48-44) Trafalgar-R
• Average of recent polls: R +3.7

GOVERNOR: 2022 
Among voters statewide

RON’S COMMENTS:  

• Nevada even in new poll.
• Drazan (R) holds small lead in Oregon.
• Massachusetts is a blowout… Incumbent Republican governor Charlie Baker is often called a RINO and he’s the most popular official in this very blue state (67% favorable/17% unfavorable). 

NEVADA

• Joe Lombardo (R) and Gov. Steve Sisolak (D): Even (48-48) CBS
• Average of recent polls: R +1

OREGON

• Christine Drazan (R) over Tina Kotek (D): +2 (37-35-17) Hoffman
• Average of recent polls: R +3.3

MASSACHUSETTS

• Maura Healy (D) over Geoff Diehl (R): +23 (56-33) Suffolk
• Maura Healy (D) over Geoff Diehl (R): +30 (53-23-4) MassINC
• Average: D +26.5

VOTER ENTHUSIASM
Among voters nationwide

Compared to voting in previous Congressional election years, are you more or less enthusiastic about voting in this year’s election? 

• More enthusiastic: 46%
• Less enthusiastic: 12%
• About the same: 37%

RON’S COMMENT: What’s interesting is that 47% of Republicans are more enthusiastic, while 37% of Democrats are.

SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
VOTER ENTHUSIASM: The Economist/YouGov, Oct. 16-18

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

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