Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, June 14, 2022
BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 39%
Down 1 from May 31
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 35% (Quinnipiac) to 43% (Economist). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 55% today (up 1 from May 31), putting him at 16 points net negative.
SENATE: 2022
Among voters statewide
UTAH GENERAL ELECTION
Sen. Mike Lee (R) over Evan McMullin (I): +5 (41-36)
RON’S COMMENT: McMullin is an independent who is getting help from state Democrats. Lee is the GOP incumbent who faces primary opposition.
ARIZONA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Blake Masters: 29%
Mark Brnovich: 24%
Jim Lamon: 17%
Others: 8%
RON’S COMMENT: Masters has served as Thiel Foundation president, Brnovich is state AG and Lamon is a businessman. Masters has Trump’s endorsement…. The Aug. 2 primary winner will face Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly.
GOVERNOR: 2022
Among voters statewide
NEW YORK DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Gov. Kathy Hochul: 63%
Tom Suozzi: 25%
Jumaane Williams: 11%
RON’S COMMENT: Hochul still leads the field by a wide margin.
NEW YORK REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Lee Zeldin: 40%
Rob Astorino: 23%
Harry Wilson: 20%
Andrew Giuliani: 17%
RON’S COMMENT: Zeldin posts a clear lead over Astorino and Wilson. Giuliani is the former mayor’s son.
MARYLAND DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Peter Franchot: 20%
Wes Moore: 15%
Tom Perez: 12%
Rushern Baker: 7%
Doug Gansler: 4%
RON’S COMMENT: State Comptroller Franchot leads author and former Robin Hood Foundation CEO Moore…. Baker has withdrawn…. Moore has been endorsed by House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer and former Gov. Parris Glendening…. Perez has been endorsed by Speaker Nancy Pelosi as well as a long list of unions.
MARYLAND REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Kelly Schultz: 27%
Daniel Cox: 21%
Others: 9%
RON’S COMMENT: Trump has endorsed Cox and Gov. Larry Hogan (R) has endorsed Schulz.
JANUARY 6 HEARING
Among voters nationwide
As you may know, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) appointed seven Democrats and two Republicans to serve on a special congressional committee to investigate the events that occurred at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, 2021.Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the special congressional committee investigating the events that occurred at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, 2021?
- Strongly/somewhat approve: 51%
- Strongly/somewhat disapprove: 36%
- Don’t know: 14%
RON’S COMMENT: 84% of Democrats, 45% of independents and 20% of Republicans approve of the hearing. Since mid-May, approval among independents went up 3 points.
As you may know, a group of people attacked police and broke into the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C. on January 6th, 2021. How responsible do you believe each of the following are for the events that led to a group of people attacking police and breaking into the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C.?
% = Very + somewhat responsible
- The people who broke into the U.S. Capitol: 85%
- Social media companies: 60%
- Donald Trump: 57%
- News media: 57%
- Republicans in Congress: 49%
- Democrats in Congress: 33%
- Joe Biden: 26%
- Local law enforcement: 36%
- Defense Department: 30%
- Mike Pence: 27%
- State elections officials: 33%
- State legislators: 34%
RON’S COMMENT: 84% of Democrats, 56% of independents and 29% of Republicans say Trump was very or somewhat responsible. 47% of Democrats, 57% of independents and 69% of Republicans say the news media was very or somewhat responsible.
LEGAL ACTION AND ELECTION FRAUD CLAIMS
Among voters nationwide
Do you believe that the Department of Justice should bring legal action against the following?
Elected officials who have attempted to overturn the results of an American election
Yes, definitely: 47%
Yes, probably: 20%
Elected officials who have claimed that presidential elections are fraudulent without evidence
Yes, definitely: 38%
Yes, probably: 17%
RON’S COMMENT: 86% of Democrats, 64% of independents and 51% of Republicans say the Department of Justice should definitely or probably bring legal action against elected officials who have attempted to overturn the results of an American election …. 78% of Democrats, 51% of independents and 32% of Republicans say the Department of Justice should definitely or probably bring legal action against elected officials who have claimed that presidential elections are fraudulent without evidence.
TUESDAY TRIVIA
Name the last U.S. president who was a slave holder?
(See answer below)
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
JANUARY 6, LEGAL ACTION AND ELECTION FRAUD CLAIMS: Politico/Morning Consult, June 10–12
NEW YORK: The Hill/Emerson, June 9-10
MARYLAND: Baltimore Sun, May 27-June 2
ARIZONA: Trafalgar (R), June 7-9
UTAH: Deseret News/Dan Jones, May 24-June 4
Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron
TRIVIA ANSWER
U.S. Grant. His father-in-law gave him one slave who Grant freed before the Civil War. Grant’s wife also held four slaves, who were freed by the Emancipation Proclamation.
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