Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, November 1, 2021
BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 42% (The Hill, Rasmussen) to 46% (Politico). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 51% today (down 1 from Friday), putting him at 7 points net negative.
VIRGINIA: GOVERNOR 2021
Among voters statewide
(Fox 5 DC) Glenn Youngkin (R) over Terry McAuliffe (D): +2 (47-45)
(Trafalgar-R) Glenn Youngkin (R) over Terry McAuliffe (D): +2 (49-47)
(Roanoke College) Terry McAuliffe (D) and Glenn Youngkin (R): +1 (47-46)
RON’S COMMENT: The average lead has now switched to Youngkin, at +1.7 points, based on the six latest polls. Excluding the Fox News poll that had him 8 points ahead, Youngkin’s average lead based on the five remaining polls is an extremely tight four-tenths of a point…. The Trafalgar (R) and Fox 5 DC polls are the most recent. The election is tomorrow.
NEW JERSEY: GOVERNOR 2021
Among voters statewide
(Trafalgar-R) Gov. Phil Murphy (D) over Jack Ciatterelli (R): +4 (49-45)
(Farleigh Dickinson) Gov. Phil Murphy (D) over Jack Ciatterelli (R): +9 (53-44)
RON’S COMMENT: The average of the four most recent polls puts Murphy ahead by 8.3 points. The election is tomorrow.
NEW YORK CITY: MAYOR 2021
Among voters citywide
Eric Adams (D) over Curtis Sliwa (R): +36 (61-25)
RON’S COMMENT: By all accounts, Adams should win easily. There has been very little public polling in the race.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
VIRGINIA: Fox 5 DC, Oct. 27-30; Trafalgar-R, Oct. 29-31; Roanoke College, Oct. 14-28 NEW JERSEY: Trafalgar-R, Oct. 29-31; Farleigh Dickinson, Oct. 23-28
NEW YORK CITY: Emerson College, Oct. 22-23
Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron
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