Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, January 14, 2021
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 40%
Down 2 from Monday
RON’S COMMENT: Trump’s approval rating has now dipped nearly 7 points below his popular vote performance in the November election (46.9% to 40%), which means he’s lost about 15% of his support since the election…. Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 33% (Quinnipiac) to 46% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes it would still be 40%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 57% today (+1 from Monday)…. See the trend in Trump’s job approval average since the beginning of 2020 at approval trend.
POST-ELECTION APPROVAL
Among voters nationwide
Trump: Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Trump is handling the post-election period?
Approve: 24%
Disapprove: 69%
Not sure: 7%
RON’S COMMENT: More than two-thirds of voters disapprove of the way Trump is handling the post-election period. Also: 6% of Democrats, 21% of independents and 48% of Republicans approve of Trump’s post-election performance…. Note that Trump’s approval rating for handling the post-election period is far lower than his overall job approval rating, which presumably includes his entire term of office (24% vs. 40%).
Biden: Do you approve or disapprove of the way President-Elect Joe Biden is handling the post-election period?
Approve: 54%
Disapprove: 34%
Not sure: 12%
RON’S COMMENT: Biden received 51.3 of the popular vote in November; his handling of the post-election period is higher, at 54%…. 88% of Democrats, 45% of independents and 20% of Republicans approve of the way Biden is handling the post-election period…. Here is the number that will worry Republicans: Biden’s post-election period approval rating is now 30 points higher than Trump’s––54% vs. 24%.
SELF-PARDON
Among voters nationwide
Would you support President Trump pardoning himself?
Support: 23%
Oppose: 57%
Not sure: 19%
RON’S COMMENT: A clear majority of all voters oppose Trump pardoning himself…. Looking at only Republicans: 51% would support a self-pardon, 24% would oppose it and 25% are not sure.
2020 ELECTION
Among voters nationwide
GOP objections: Do you support or oppose the objections made by some Republicans in Congress to the certification of the election of Joe Biden as president?
Support objections: 36%
Oppose objections: 52%
Not sure: 11%
RON’S COMMENT: A majority of voters oppose objections made by some Republicans in Congress to the certification of the election of Joe Biden as president. Also: 11% of Democrats, 31% of independents and 67% of Republicans say they supported objections.
Confidence in election fairness: How much confidence do you have that the 2020 presidential election was held fairly?
A great deal/quite a bit of confidence: 46%
A moderate amount of confidence: 11%
Only a little/no confidence at all: 39%
RON’S COMMENT: 81% of Democrats, 39% of independents and 10% of Republicans say they have a great deal or quite a bit of confidence that the 2020 presidential election was held fairly.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
POST-ELECTION APPROVAL, SELF-PARDON, 2020 ELECTION: The Economist/YouGov, Jan. 10-12
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