Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, January 11, 2021
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 42%
RON’S COMMENT: At 42%, Trump’s job approval is about 5 points lower than the vote he received in the November election…. Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 38% (Politico) to 48% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes it would be 41%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 56% today…. See the trend in Trump’s job approval average since the beginning of 2020 at approval trend.
Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics will continue to publish periodically to report the latest polling data. Thanks to all our readers and best of health in the new year, Ron
HOW THE POLLS DID: GEORGIA SENATE RUNOFFS
SPECIAL ELECTION: The final Lunchtime Politics poll average showed Raphael Warnock (D) leading Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) by seven-tenths of a point. In the actual election, Warnock won by 2 points.
- Most accurate: The Targoz poll had Warnock ahead by 2 points.
- Least accurate: The Trafalgar (R) poll had Loeffler ahead by 2 points (margin off by 4 points).
REGULAR ELECTION: The final Lunchtime Politics poll average showed Jon Ossoff (D) leading Sen. David Perdue (R) by seven-tenths of a point. Ossoff won by 1.2 points.
- Most accurate: The National Research/Preserve America (R) poll had Ossoff ahead by 1 point.
- Least accurate: The Univ. of Nevada/Las Vegas poll had Perdue ahead by 1 point. (Even though their final poll indicated the wrong winner, it still came pretty close; their margin was off by only 2.2 points.)
REMOVAL FROM OFFICE
Among adults nationwide
Do you think Donald Trump should or should not be removed from office before his term ends?
Should be removed: 56%
Should NOT be removed: 43%
RON’S COMMENT: A clear majority want to see Trump removed from office. By party: 94% of Democrats, 58% of independents and 13% of Republicans believe he should be removed.
BLAME FOR CAPITOL RIOTING
Among adults nationwide
How much blame do you think Donald Trump deserves for the rioting that occurred in Washington D.C. this week?
A great deal/a good amount: 67%
Not so much/not at all: 33%
RON’S COMMENT: 31% of Republicans, 69% of independents and 98% of Democrats blame Trump for the rioting at the Capitol.
PROTECTING DEMOCRACY
Among adults nationwide
How much do you trust each of the following to protect democracy in the United States?
Donald Trump
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 30%
Trust not so much/not at all: 69%
Joe Biden
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 53%
Trust not so much/not at all: 45%
Mike Pence
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 39%
Trust not so much/not at all: 58%
Republicans in Congress
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 32%
Trust not so much/not at all: 68%
Democrats in Congress
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 47%
Trust not so much/not at all: 51%
RON’S COMMENT: On the fundamental question of protecting American democracy, nearly seven out of ten voters have little or no trust in Trump. A majority, however, trust Biden…. Interestingly, majorities trust neither Republicans nor Democrats in Congress, although Republicans do much worse.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
REMOVAL FROM OFFICE, CAPITOL RIOTING, PROTECTING DEMOCRACY: ABC/Ipsos, Jan. 8-9
Subscription note: If you ever stop receiving Lunchtime Politics, check your spam or junk folders. Sometimes, for mysterious reasons, the newsletter may re-route to there. Please know that we will never take you off our subscriber list unless you ask us to do so.
Follow here to get the latest updates on the Lunchtime Politics.
Be the first to comment