President Donald Trump is trailing Democratic challenger Joe Biden in four major swing states that he narrowly carried in 2016, a new poll shows, Newsweek reported.
Just days before Election Day, The New York Times/Siena College poll found Biden is ahead in the key battlegrounds of Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and Wisconsin.
The poll, conducted between October 26 and 31, found Biden leads by 6 percentage points in both Arizona and Pennsylvania, 49 percent to 43 percent. He is ahead by a more modest 3 points in Florida, 47 percent to 44 percent.
But Biden’s lead is stronger in Wisconsin, where he is ahead by 11 points. Fifty-two percent of people said they intend to vote for Biden compared to 41 percent for Trump in Wisconsin.
The margin of error is 3 points in Arizona, 2.4 points in Pennsylvania and 3.2 points in Wisconsin and Florida.
According to The Times, Biden’s advantage in the four states has been bolstered by the support of voters who didn’t turn out four years ago. In Wisconsin, voters who didn’t cast a ballot in 2016 favor Biden by 19 points while in Florida, it’s by 17 points. In Pennsylvania, Biden ahead by 12 points among those voters and in Arizona, by 7 points.
On Twitter, FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver shared how the new polls affected the website’s averages.
“What I’m getting at here is … things look pretty locked in. Not the election outcome itself! That ain’t locked in at all!” Silver added. “But our final averages may not change much. Especially after adding these polls because they have huge sample sizes and so get a lot of weight in our model.”
It comes after recent polls determined Georgia, a Republican stronghold for decades, is considered a battleground state in this year’s election.
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