Fed Chief Optimistic About Recovery

Global stock markets and U.S. futures rose Monday after the chief American central banker expressed optimism the American economy might start to recover this year from the coronavirus pandemic, The Associated Press reported.

London and Frankfurt opened higher, while benchmarks in Shanghai, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Australia advanced.

That came despite Japan’s announcement that its economy contracted in the first quarter and the Trump administration’s decision to step up a technology conflict with Beijing by tightening restrictions on Chinese tech giant Huawei.

Investors appear to be looking past the outbreak to a recovery despite rising infection numbers in the United States, Brazil and some other countries. Forecasters warn the latest market buoyancy might be premature and a return to normal could be some way off.

Market sentiment “will likely remain fragile” as investors weigh government stimulus plans against rising U.S.-Chinese tension and poor economic data, said Riki Ogawa of Mizuho Bank in a report.

In early trading, the FTSE 100 in London gained 2.1% to 5,922.41 and the DAX in Frankfurt advanced 2.8% to 10,762.09. France’s CAC 40 rose 2.5% to 4,383.44.

In Asia, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.2% to 2,875.42 and Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 gained 0.5% to 20,133.73. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong advanced 0.6% to 23,934.77.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed optimism Sunday the U.S. economy can begin to rebound in the second half, assuming the coronavirus doesn’t erupt in a second wave. He said a full recovery won’t likely be possible before the arrival of a vaccine.

That appeared to encourage investors who are looking for signs of when global economies might return to normal.

In an interview with CBS’s “60 Minutes,” Powell said the U.S. economy was fundamentally healthy before the virus forced widespread business shutdowns and tens of millions of layoffs. Once the outbreak has been contained, he said, the economy should be able to rebound “substantially.”

The U.S. downturn was the result of an external event instead of problems such as the financial instabilities that led to the 2008 crisis, which may mean “we can get back to a healthy economy fairly quickly,” Powell said.

Powell and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are due to appear Thursday before a Senate panel to report on recovery efforts.

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