Your Daily Polling Update for Wednesday, February 5, 2020
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 46%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 42% (Reuters) to 49% (Gallup). Without these extremes, it would still be 46%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (+2 from yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating…. Polls used for today’s average were conducted before last night’s State of the Union address.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Among Democratic primary voters statewide
% = St. Anselm / WHDH / Boston Globe = Average
Bernie Sanders: 19%/32%/24% = 25
Joe Biden: 19%/13%/15% = 15.7
Pete Buttigieg: 14%/17%/15% = 15.3
Elizabeth Warren: 11%/11%/10% = 10.7
Amy Klobuchar: 11%/11%/6% = 9.3
Tulsi Gabbard: 3%/6%/5% = 4.7
Andrew Yang: 4%/6%/3% = 4.3
Tom Steyer: 5%/2%/5% = 4
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: The average of the three most recent New Hampshire polls has Sanders ahead with Biden and Buttigieg vying for second place and Warren and Klobuchar battling for fourth place. Note how Sanders’ percentage bounces around from one poll to another…. Keep in mind that Sanders won the 2016 New Hampshire primary with 60% of the vote…. According to the St. Anselm survey: Buttigieg has the best favorability rating (72% favorable/14% unfavorable). Sanders is 67% favorable/28% unfavorable, Warren is 64% favorable/29% unfavorable and Biden is 63% favorable/26% unfavorable.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 24%
Bernie Sanders: 19%
Elizabeth Warren: 18%
Pete Buttigieg: 9%
Michael Bloomberg: 9%
Amy Klobuchar: 6%
Andrew Yang: 3%
Tom Steyer: 2%
Tulsi Gabbard: 3%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Over the past week in this poll, Biden is down 2, Sanders is down 5, Warren is down 2, Bloomberg is up 5, Buttigieg is up 2 and Klobuchar is up 2.
IMPEACHMENT PROCESS PLAYERS
Among voters nationwide
Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following are handling the current impeachment inquiry into President Trump?
% = Approve / Disapprove
Donald Trump: 39%/48%
Democrats in Congress: 42%/43%
Republicans in Congress: 38%/45%
Nancy Pelosi: 37%/46%
Mitch McConnell: 29%/41%
Adam Schiff: 32%/37%
Chuck Schumer: 31%/37%
Jay Sekulow: 30%/36%
RON’S COMMENT: Everybody who has touched the impeachment issue––on both sides––receive net negative ratings on how they handled it.
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SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: St. Anselm College, Jan. 29-Feb. 2; Boston Globe/Suffolk, Feb. 3-4; WHDH/Emerson, Feb. 2-4.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: The Economist/YouGov, Feb. 2-4
IMPEACHMENT PROCESS PLAYERS: Politico/Morning Consult, Jan. 29-30
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