Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, January 21, 2020
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Reuters) to 47% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would be 45%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (-1 from yesterday), which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES
Among Democratic primary voters in each state
New Hampshire Primary
Bernie Sanders: 16%
Joe Biden: 15%
Pete Buttigieg: 12%
Elizabeth Warren: 10%
Andrew Yang: 6%
Amy Klobuchar: 5%
Tulsi Gabbard: 5%
Tom Steyer: 3%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Four candidates are bunched together, separated by 6 points. This poll shows that one-fourth of the New Hampshire primary electorate is still undecided. Over the last three weeks in this poll, Sanders hasn’t moved, Biden is up 3, Buttigieg is down 1, Warren is down 4 and Klobuchar is up 4.
New Jersey
Joe Biden: 28%
Bernie Sanders: 25%
Elizabeth Warren: 15%
Michael Bloomberg: 9%
Pete Buttigieg: 6%
Andrew Yang: 6%
Amy Klobuchar: 4%
Tulsi Gabbard: 3%
John Delaney: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden leads New Jersey with Sanders a close second. 55% expect Biden to be the nominee. The primary is June 2, so will only matter if the race is still going on by then. If it is, the state’s haul of 102 delegates could become crucial.
FAVORABILITY OF TOP DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES
Among voters nationwide
Among all voters nationwide
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Bernie Sanders: 43%/51%
Joe Biden: 41%/52%
Elizabeth Warren: 40%/49%
Pete Buttigieg: 32%/46%
Michael Bloomberg: 29%/53%
Amy Klobuchar: 28%/39%
RON’S COMMENT: Remember, these ratings are among the entire electorate and not just party voters…. Note that every Democrat’s favorability rating is now upside down, more negative than positive.
Among only Democrats nationwide
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Elizabeth Warren: 73%/20%
Bernie Sanders: 73%/24%
Joe Biden: 69%/26%
Pete Buttigieg: 57%/28%
Amy Klobuchar: 48%/27%
Michael Bloomberg: 48%/37%
RON’S COMMENT: Warren and Sanders have the highest favorable ratings among Democrats nationwide, and Bloomberg has the highest negative rating.
IMPEACHMENT, TRIAL
Among adults nationwide
Do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following is handling the current impeachment proceedings against Donald Trump?
% = Approve/Disapprove
Republicans in Congress: 39%/54%
Democrats in Congress: 46%/50%
Do you think the impeachment trial, which will be held in the U.S. Senate, should include testimony from witnesses who did not testify during the U.S. House impeachment inquiry, or not?
Yes, should include testimony from new witnesses: 69%
No, should NOT include testimony from new witnesses: 26%
RON’S COMMENT: 86% of Democrats, 69% of independents and 48% of Republicans say testimony from new witnesses should be included in the Senate trial.
DIET CLASSIFICATION
Among adults nationwide
How would you classify your diet?
Omnivore/meat eater: 68%
Flexitarian: 8%
Vegetarian: 5%
Pescatarian: 3%
Vegan: 2%
Other: 14%
RON’S COMMENT: Most Americans are meat eaters, although it’s higher among those 45 and older (73%) than those under 30 (59%). Republicans tend to be omnivores more so than Democrats, but not by much (72% vs. 66%). Those under 30 are more likely to be vegetarians than those over 65 (9% vs. 3%)…. Flexitarians normally follow meatless diets, but occasionally eat meat or fish. Vegetarians abstain from the consumption of red meat, poultry, seafood and the flesh of any other animal, and may also include abstention from by-products of animal slaughter. Vegans abstain from the use of animal products, particularly in their diet, and an associated philosophy that rejects the commodity status of animals. Pescatarians add fish and seafood to a vegetarian diet.
TUESDAY TRIVIA
Since the 2000 general election, which Republican presidential nominee received the highest percentage of popular votes in California? Which one received the lowest?
(See answer below)
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SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NEW JERSEY: Emerson, Jan. 16-19
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Boston Herald/Suffolk, Jan. 15-19
FAVORABILITY OF TOP DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES, DIET CLASSIFICATION: The Economist/YouGov, Jan. 11-14
IMPEACHMENT, TRIAL: CNN, Jan. 16-19
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.
TRIVIA ANSWER
George W. Bush in 2004 received the highest percentage in California (44.4%).
Donald Trump in 2016 received the lowest percentage in California (31.6%.)
FYI: Romney and McCain each received 37% in California in 2008 and 2012.
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