Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, November 25, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Reuters, Politico) to 48% (Emerson). Without these extremes, it would still be 44%…. It should be mentioned that President Trump’s job approval in the Rasmussen poll has dropped over the last week from 50% to 44%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as Friday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.
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SUPPORT FOR TRUMP’S POLICIES
Among voters nationwide
How often do you support or oppose President Trump’s policies?
- Always support Trump’s policies: 13%
- Support Trump’s policies most of the time, but oppose a few: 26%
- 50/50 – Support or oppose Trump’s policies about half of the time: 8%
- Oppose Trump’s policies most of the time, but support a few: 23%
- Always oppose Trump’s policies: 27%
- Not sure: 4%
RON’S COMMENT: 39% of all voters, 5% of Democrats, 31% of independents and 79% of Republicans support Trump’s policies most or all of the time. 50% of all voters, 84% of Democrats, 37% of independents and 9% of Republicans oppose Trump’s policies most or all of the time.…Note that 12% of voters are either 50/50 or they’re not sure.
FAVORABILITY OF PUBLIC FIGURES
Among voters nationwide
Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of….?
Rudy Giuliani: 35% / 52% (-17)
Mick Mulvaney: 21% / 38% (-17)
William Barr: 31% / 39% (-8)
Mike Pompeo: 29% / 41% (-12)
Adam Schiff: 35% / 39% (-4)
RON’S COMMENT: Everyone rated here is net negative. While the Trump advisers do much better among Republicans than Democrats, Democrat Schiff does much better with Democrats––he’s 56% favorable/16% unfavorable among Democrats and 11% favorable/64% unfavorable among Republicans. Schiff is net negative among independents by 16 points.
FAVORABILITY OF DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES
Among voters nationwide
Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of….?
Among voters nationwide
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Pete Buttigieg: 40% / 38% (+2)
Elizabeth Warren: 44% / 46% (-2)
Joe Biden: 44% / 49% (-5)
Bernie Sanders: 42% / 52% (-10)
Deval Patrick: 16% / 28% (-12)
Michael Bloomberg: 24% / 45% (-21)
RON’S COMMENT: Remember, these ratings are among the entire electorate and not just party primary voters…. Buttigieg is the only Democrat getting a net positive rating, and that’s by only 2 points. Bloomberg has the worst positive-to-negative ratio.
Among only Democrats nationwide
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Elizabeth Warren: 76% / 17% (+59)
Joe Biden: 73% / 23% (+50)
Pete Buttigieg: 64% / 18% (+46)
Bernie Sanders: 69% / 26% (+43)
Deval Patrick: 26% / 20% (+6)
Michael Bloomberg: 37% / 33% (+4)
RON’S COMMENT: Warren has the highest positive rating among Democrats with Biden second. Bloomberg has the highest negative rating with Sanders second.
SOCIAL PROGRAMS
Among adults nationwide
Thinking about social programs like Medicaid, food stamps, social security, etc., should the government spend more money on social programs, less money on social programs, or is the current spending on social programs about right?
Spend more money: 43%
Spend less money: 26%
Current spending is about right: 31%
RON’S COMMENT: There are large differences across partisanship and age: 60% of Democrats say the government should be spending more on these types of programs, compared to 27% of Republicans and 39% of independents. Younger adults are more supportive of social program spending than older adults: 55% of 18 to 34 year-olds, 40% of 35 to 49 year-olds, 41% of 50 to 64 year-olds, and 36% of 65 year-olds support more spending.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
SUPPORT FOR TRUMP’S POLICIES, FAVORABILITY OF PUBLIC FIGURES, FAVORABILITY OF DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES:The Economist/YouGov, Nov. 17-19
SOCIAL PROGRAMS: Hill/Harris-X, Nov. 16-17
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