Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, October 4
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: What we said yesterday still applies: President Trump’s base is holding but his opposition is solidifying….Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Reuters, Politico) to 49% (The Hill). Without these extremes, it would be 45%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 54% today (same as yesterday), which is 10 points higher than his approval rating
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OHIO: PRESIDENT
Among voters statewide
Among general election voters in Ohio:
Joe Biden (D) over Donald Trump (R): +6 (53-47)
Bernie Sanders (I/D) over Donald Trump (R): +6 (53-47)
Elizabeth Warren (D) over Donald Trump (R): +4 (52-48)
RON’S COMMENT: Trump carried Ohio by a substantial 8 points in 2016, now he’s losing the state to all three Democrats tested. Ohio voted Republican in three of the last five presidential elections….On impeachment, 47% of Ohio’s general election voters support it, while 43% oppose it. Democrats support impeachment 79% to 14%, Republicans oppose it 75% to 12% and Independents are split with 45% opposing and 44% supporting…. Pence as the GOP nominee: When VP Mike Pence replaces Trump as the Republican nominee, he loses to Biden by 8 points and trails Sanders and Warren by 2 points…..Gov. Mike DeWine (R): According to this poll, DeWine’s job rating is a weak 30% approve/34% disapprove.
Among Democratic primary voters in Ohio:
Joe Biden: 29%
Bernie Sanders: 27%
Elizabeth Warren: 21%
Kamala Harris: 7%
Pete Buttigieg: 5%
Andrew Yang: 3%
Beto O’Rourke: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden holds a slim lead over Sanders in Ohio among Democrats. The poll report finds that “Sanders is holding onto a majority of his 2016 supporters in Ohio, as 57% still support him. 16% of 2016 Sanders supporters now favor Warren, 10% now support Biden and 8% now support Harris. Biden, on the other hand, holds a strong lead among those who supported Hillary Clinton in 2016. He receives 47% support from Clinton primary voters, followed by Warren with 29%, and Buttigieg, Sanders, and Harris with 5%.”
TRUMP VS. GENERIC DEMOCRAT
Among voters nationwide
If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for?
Democratic candidate: 49% (same as last week)
Trump: 39% (same as last week)
It depends: 11%
RON’S COMMENT: The “generic” Democrat is ahead by 10 points, same as last week.
IMPEACHABLE OFFENSES
Among voters nationwide
Do you think an elected official should or should not be impeached and removed from office for committing the offenses listed below?
% = Should be impeached and removed for committing
Perjury (lying under oath): 71%
Obstruction of justice: 68%
Abuse of power: 67%
Tax evasion: 65%
Violations of campaign finance laws: 55%
Contempt of Congress: 47%
RON’S COMMENT: 41% of Republicans say an official should be removed for tax evasion, 31% of Republicans say an official should be removed for violations of campaign finance laws, 20% of Republicans say an official should be removed for contempt of Congress, 45% of Republicans say an official should be removed for abuse of power, 42% of Republicans say an official should be removed for obstruction of justice and 58% of Republicans say an official should be removed for perjury.
FOREIGN INVESTIGATION OF RIVALS
Among voters nationwide
Do you think it is appropriate or inappropriate for the President to request a foreign government to open an investigation of one of his potential political opponents?
Appropriate: 27%
Inappropriate: 55%
RON’S COMMENT: 51% of Republicans, 19% of independents and 10% of Democrats say it is appropriate for the President to request a foreign government to open an investigation of one of his potential political opponents.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
OHIO: Emerson, Sept. 29-Oct. 1
IMPEACHABLE OFFENSES, FOREIGN INVESTIGATION OF RIVALS, TRUMP VS. GENERIC DEMOCRAT: The Economist/YouGov Poll, Sept. 28-Oct. 1
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