A new state poll released on Saturday shows Senator Elizabeth Warren in the lead in Iowa, pushing former Vice President Joe Biden to second place, although the difference is so slight that the two presidential candidates are in a statistical tie.
Warren’s support in the state has seen a 7 percentage point increase since June and now stands at 22 percent. Biden’s support is 20 percent, the poll shows, down slightly from June.
“It’s the first time we’ve had someone other than Joe Biden at the top of the leader board,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll.
The two top candidates were within the poll’s margin of error, but this is the first time Warren has found herself in the lead, ahead of Biden. When considering second choices, Warren’s lead over Biden expands. Forty-two percent of likely Democratic voters said she was their first or second choice. Thirty percent said the same of Biden.
Senator Bernie Sanders trails behind in third place at 11 percent, followed by Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 9 percent and Senator Kamala Harris, whose support fell 1 percentage point from June, Bloomberg reports.
She stayed ahead of Amy Klobuchar and Cory Booker, both of whom polled at 3 percent. Billionaire businessman Tom Steyer, Congressman Beto O’Rourke, Hawaii Representative Tulsi Gabbard and businessman Andrew Yang polled at 2 percent. All other candidates polled at 1 percent or less.
Warren has seen a significant increase of support since December when only 8 percent of respondents said they would support her. In March, her support sat at 9 percent and in June at 15 percent.
Yet, the results of the survey are no definite indication of the outcome of next year’s presidential election. Almost two-thirds of respondents said they haven’t decided yet whom to support, noting that they could change their minds by next year’s ballot.
The Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom poll was conducted September 14-18 among 602 likely Democratic caucus-goers. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.