Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, July 11, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 42% (PPP-D) to 48% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (+1 from yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating.
CITIZENSHIP QUESTION
Among voters nationwide
Do you think the federal government should or should not ask people whether they are American citizens as part of the 2020 census?
Should ask: 51%
Should not ask: 39%
Not sure: 9%
RON’S COMMENT: Most voters favor asking the citizenship question….24% of Democrats, 52% of independents, 87% of Republicans, 57% of whites, 33% of blacks and 43% of Hispanics say the census should ask the citizenship question…. 64% of Democrats, 26% of independents, 7% of Republicans, 32% of whites, 46% of blacks and 34% of Hispanics say the census.should NOT ask the citizenship question…. Note that more Hispanics say the question should be asked (46%) than those who say it shouldn’t be asked (34%).
BUSING
Among voters nationwide
Do you favor or oppose busing African-American and white students to achieve racial balance in public schools?
Favor: 35%
Oppose: 37%
Not sure: 27%
RON’S COMMENT: 51% of Democrats, 28% of independents, 25% of Republicans, 31% of whites and 51% of blacks favor busing…. 22% of Democrats, 32% of independents, 52% of Republicans, 37% of whites and 22% of blacks oppose busing.
TRUST IN THREE BRANCHES OF GOVERNMENT
Among voters nationwide
How much trust and confidence do you have in the Executive Branch – The President and the federal agencies?
A great deal: 19%
A fair amount: 27%
Not very much/not at all: 53%
RON’S COMMENT: 21% of Democrats, 40% of independents and 83% of Republicans have a great deal or a fair amount of trust in the executive branch.
How much trust and confidence do you have in the Legislative Branch – The U.S. Congress?
A great deal: 8%
A fair amount: 26%
Not very much/not at all: 67%
RON’S COMMENT: 44% of Democrats, 24% of independents and 35% of Republicans have a great deal or a fair amount of trust in the legislative branch.
How much trust and confidence do you have in the Judicial Branch – The Supreme Court of the United States and other federal courts?
A great deal: 14%
A fair amount: 46%
Not very much/not at all: 40%
RON’S COMMENT: 57% of Democrats, 46% of independents and 68% of Republicans have a great deal or a fair amount of trust in the judicial branch.
TESTING PUBLIC KNOWLEDGE OF CONGRESS
Among U.S. adults nationwide
How many members are there in the U.S. House of Representatives?
535: 11%
435: 42%
218: 7%
100 or less: 7%
Not sure: 33%
RON’S COMMENT: 42% got it right, including 47% of Democrats, 37% of independents and 45% of Republicans.
How long is a full term in the U.S. House of Representatives?
6 years or more: 17%
4 years: 17%
2 years: 41%
Not sure: 25%
RON’S COMMENT: 41% got it right, including 45% of Democrats, 36% of independents and 43% of Republicans.
How many members are there in the U.S. Senate?
218-535: 16%
100: 52%
9: 2%
Not sure: 31%
RON’S COMMENT: A majority, 52%, got it right, including 56% of Democrats, 47% of independents and 54% of Republicans.
How long is a full term in the U.S. Senate?
10 years or more: 6%
6 years: 45%
4 years: 17%
2 years: 8%
Not sure: 24%
RON’S COMMENT: 45% got it right, including 50% of Democrats, 40% of independents and 46% of Republicans.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
BUSING, CITIZENSHIP QUESTION, TESTING PUBLIC KNOWLEDGE OF CONGRESS, TRUST IN THREE BRANCHES OF GOVERNMENT: TheEconomist/YouGov: July 7-9
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.
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