Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, May 28, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 43%
Down 1 from Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Monmouth, CBS) to 46% (Rasmussen). Without these three extremes, it would be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as Friday), which is 10 points higher than his approval rating.
PARTY PERCEPTIONS
Among voters nationwide
YOUR FRIENDS: If you had to guess, what do you think are the political party preferences of your friends?
Almost all/mostly Democrats: 42%
Equal split: 22%
Almost all/mostly Republicans: 27%
Not sure: 9%
RON’S COMMENT: 15% of Republicans, 68% of Democrats and 24% of independents say their friends are all or mostly Democrats…. 49% of Republicans, 9% of Democrats and 21% of independents say their friends are all or mostly Republicans.
SHARE VALUES: Do you think most Democrats share your values?
Yes: 45%
No: 42%
Not sure: 14%
SHARE VALUES: Do you think most Republicans share your values?
Yes: 39%
No: 48%
Not sure: 14%
DEMOCRATIC POLICIES: Do you think the policies most Democrats support are…
Great/good: 35%
Equal mix/good and bad: 31%
Bad/dangerous: 33%
RON’S COMMENT: 19% of Democrats say their own party’s policies are great and another 48% say they’re good.
REPUBLICAN POLICIES: Do you think the policies most Republicans support are…
Great/good: 29%
Equal mix/good and bad: 33%
Bad/dangerous: 37%
RON’S COMMENT: 20% of Republicans say their own party’s policies are great and another 47% say they’re good.
CLOSE RELATIVE MARRYING A DEMOCRAT: Would you be generally happy or unhappy if a member of your immediate family told you they were going to marry a Democrat, or wouldn’t it matter to you at all?
Generally happy: 24%
Generally unhappy: 13%
Wouldn’t matter at all: 63%
RON’S COMMENT: 25% of Republicans would be unhappy if a close family member married a Democrat.
CLOSE RELATIVE MARRYING A REPUBLICAN: Would you be generally happy or unhappy if a member of your immediate family told you they were going to marry a Republican, or wouldn’t it matter to you at all?
Generally happy: 21%
Generally unhappy: 19%
Wouldn’t matter at all: 60%
RON’S COMMENT: 35% of Democrats would be unhappy if a close family member married a Republican.
PERCEPTION OF TRUMP RE-ELECTION
Among voters nationwide
How likely do you think it is that Donald Trump will NOT win reelection in 2020?
Very/somewhat likely he won’t win: 50%
Not very likely/not likely at all that he won’t win: 35%
Not sure: 14%
RON’S COMMENT: 56% of Democrats and 44% of Republicans say it’s likely that Trump will not win re-election.
TUESDAY TRIVIA
Which U.S. president appointed the first African American diplomat in American history and also welcomed the first black public official ever to visit the White House?
(See answer below)
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
PARTY PERCEPTIONS, TRUMP RE-ELECTION CHANCES: The Economist/YouGov, May 18-21
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.
TUESDAY TRIVIA
Ulysses S. Grant. He appointed Ebenezer D. Bassett, an African American, as minister to Haiti. Grant also welcomed Lt. Gov. Oscar J. Dunn of Louisiana, the first black public official ever to visit the White House.
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