Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, May 13, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Same as Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 43% (Reuters, Politico-Morning Consult, IBD/TIPP) to 49% (Rasmussen). The fourth poll had it at 45%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (same as Friday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.
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SOUTH CAROLINA: DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Among Democratic voters statewide
Joe Biden: 46%
Bernie Sanders: 15%
Kamala Harris: 10%
Pete Buttigieg: 8%
Elizabeth Warren: 8%
Cory Booker: 4%
Beto O’Rourke: 2%
Amy Klobuchar: 1%
Marianne Williamson: 1%
Stacey Abrams: 1%
Candidates with less than 1% not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden rolls up a big lead in the important South Carolina primary. His vote increased 14 points over the last month. He owes his impressive showing to strong support among black voters in the state…. Biden is also viewed by the state’s Democrats as the smartest, toughest, most honest and most electable candidate…. O’Rourke’s vote plummeted from 9% a month ago to 2% now. Booker’s support has been cut in half, from 4% to 2%.
Among voters nationwide
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the political parties?
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Democratic Party: 47%/50%
Republican Party: 40%/57%
RON’S COMMENT: 87% of Democrats and 86% of Republicans have favorable feelings toward their own parties. And, 12% of Democrats and 13% of Republicans have unfavorable feelings toward their own parties.
Is the Democratic Party…
Too liberal: 47%
About right: 28%
Not liberal enough: 14%
Is the Republican Party…
Too conservative 44%
About right: 26%
Not conservative enough: 17%
RON’S COMMENT: Exquisite symmetry: 10% of Democrats say their party is too liberal and 10% of Republicans say their party is too conservative. But, 21% of Democrats say their party is not liberal enough, while 28% of Republicans say their party is not conservative enough.
TRUMP VS. HOGAN IN MARYLAND
Among Republican primary voters in Maryland
For 2020 GOP presidential nomination:
Donald Trump over Larry Hogan: +44 (68-24)
RON’S COMMENT: Maryland Republicans like their president and their governor: President Trump’s job approval rating among Maryland Republicans is 78% and GOP Gov. Larry Hogan’s job approval rating is 77%. But, if Hogan were to oppose Trump for president, which he has said is a possibility, Trump would easily beat him among Republicans in Hogan’s home state primary, based on this new poll.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
SOUTH CAROLINA: Post and Courier/Change Research, May 6-9
THE PARTIES: The Economist/YouGov, May 5-7
MARYLAND: Gonzales, April 29-May 4
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans
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