Your Daily Polling Update for Wednesday, May 8, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 39% (Reuters) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would still be 45%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (-1 from yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating.
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NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 40% (+4 from last week)
Bernie Sanders: 19% (-3)
Elizabeth Warren: 8% (-1)
Kamala Harris: 7%
Pete Buttigieg: 6% (-2)
Beto O’Rourke: 5%
Cory Booker: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 2%
Julian Castro: 1%
John Delaney: 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 1%
Tulsi Gabbard: 1%
Steve Bullock: 1%
Andrew Yang: 1%
John Hickenlooper: 1%
Tim Ryan: 1%
Candidates with less than 1% not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden has improved his standing since last week, going up 4 points in this poll. On the other hand, Sanders is down 3, Buttigieg is down 2 and Warren is down 1…. Sanders has been slipping, he was getting 27% in this poll in February…. Buttigieg’s rapid momentum from a few weeks ago has leveled off, as Warren’s bump from last week seems to have topped off as well…. In the subsample of early primary states (IA, NH, SC and NV), Biden leads with 44%, then Sanders 20%, Warren 6%, Buttigieg 6% and Harris 6%.
FAVORABILITY OF DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES
Among Democratic voters nationwide
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Joe Biden: 76%/15%
Bernie Sanders: 73%/18%
Elizabeth Warren: 56%/16%
Kamala Harris: 50%/12%
Beto O’Rourke: 44%/13%
Cory Booker: 43%/12%
Pete Buttigieg: 39%/10%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 32%/14%
Amy Klobuchar: 30%/11%
Candidates with less than 30% favorable not listed
RON’S COMMENT: All of the Democratic candidates are heavily net positive among Democratic voters. None has a negative rating above 18%.
TRUMP ISSUE APPROVAL
Among voters nationwide
% = Approve/Disapprove
The economy: 60%/40%
Stimulating jobs: 60%/40%
Fighting terrorism: 54%/46%
Immigration: 47%/53%
Foreign affairs: 44%/56%
Administering the government: 43%/57%
RON’S COMMENT: The economy, jobs and fighting terrorism are strong spots for Trump. His worst issue is administering the government, with 57% disapproving of the job he’s doing…. 39% of Democrats and 54% of independents approve of his handling of the economy.
MEDICARE-FOR-ALL
Among voters nationwide
Do you think extending Medicare to everyone would lower the cost of healthcare, raise the cost of healthcare or have no effect on the cost?
Raise the cost: 41%
Lower the cost: 39%
Have no effect on cost: 20%
Do you think Medicare for all would require higher taxes, lower taxes or have no effect on taxes?
Higher taxes: 65%
Lower taxes: 13%
Have no effect on taxes: 22%
RON’S COMMENT: While 64% of all voters favor the general concept of Medicare-for-all, when you dig deeper you find that a few more voters believe it would raise rather than lower healthcare costs. Also, 65% believe it would require higher taxes…. When voters are asked whether they want to abolish all private healthcare in favor of a government-run, single-payer program, 44% favor it and 56% oppose it. Democrats favor such an approach, 55-45.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION, FAVORABILITY OF DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES: Morning Consult, April 29-May 5
TRUMP ISSUE APPROVAL, MEDICARE-FOR-ALL: Harvard-Harris, April 30-May 1
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