Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, May 7, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on seven polls, ranging from 39% (Reuters) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would still be 45%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 46%
Bernie Sanders: 14%
Pete Buttigieg: 8%
Elizabeth Warren: 7%
Kamala Harris: 6%
Beto O’Rourke: 3%
Cory Booker: 3%
Julian Castro: 1%
John Delaney: 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 1%
Tulsi Gabbard: 1%
Michael Bennet: 1%
Andrew Yang: 1%
Jay Inslee: 1%
Tim Ryan: 1%
Eric Swalwell: 1%
Marianne Williamson: 1%
Candidates with less than 1% not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden is stomping the other candidates in this new poll, with Sanders second and Buttigieg, Harris and Warren fighting for third place…. Since the last Hill/HarrisX poll from a month ago, Biden has gone up a solid 10 points, while Sanders has dropped 5 points…. Among Democrats polled, Biden is winning 43% of whites, 55% of blacks and 44% of Hispanics…. Sanders gets 12% of whites, 9% of blacks and 20% of Hispanics…. Buttigieg gets 13% of whites, 2% of blacks and nothing from Hispanics.
U.S. HOUSE: NORTH CAROLINA 9
Among GOP voters districtwide
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Dan Bishop: 31%
Stony Rushing: 17%
Matthew Ridenhour: 9%
Leigh Brown: 6%
Kathie Day: 5%
Fern Shubert: 4%
Chris Anglin: 3%
Stevie Rivenbark: 2%
Gary Dunn: 1%
Undecided: 21%
RON’S COMMENT: This special election was called to fill the vacancy created when the Board of Elections refused to certify a winner in the November 2018 election because of vote fraud allegations. In that election, Mark Harris (R) led Dan McCready (D) by a small margin in unofficial results. Democrat McCready, a businessman and former Marine, is running again. Pastor Harris, who defeated then-incumbent Robert Pittenger (R) in the 2018 GOP primary, is not running in the special election…. In the Republican primary to pick a nominee to take on McCready, State Sen. Bishop places first, based on this poll. Rushing, a county commissioner, is second. Despite the money realtors are pumping into fellow-realtor Brown’s campaign––$200,000 from individuals and $1.3 million from their PAC––she’s running fourth at this point.
VACCINATIONS
Among adults nationwide
Do you think parents should be required to vaccinate their children for diseases like measles, mumps, and rubella, or do you think parents should be able to decide whether or not to vaccinate their children?
Parents should be required: 72%
Parents should be able to decide: 25%
RON’S COMMENT: The percentage who believe vaccinations should be required increased 6 points––from 66%––since 2015.
TUESDAY TRIVIA
Among voters statewide
Which Republican incumbent did Joe Biden defeat in 1972 to win his first U.S. Senate race?
(See answer below)
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SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: The Hill/HarrisX, May 3-4
NORTH CAROLINA 9: PPP (D), April 29-30
VACCINATIONS: WSJ/NBC, April 28-May 1
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.
TRIVIA ANSWER
Sen. J. Caleb Boggs (R-DE). Biden defeated him by 1 point in 1972.
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