LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Gubernatorial Job Ratings – Open-Ended Choices for Dem Nomination

Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, April 29, 2019

Same as Friday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 40% (Reuters) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would still be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as Friday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.

Among Democratic voters nationwide

(open-ended choices)
Joe Biden: 13% 
Bernie Sanders: 9%
Pete Buttigieg: 5% 
Kamala Harris: 4%
Elizabeth Warren: 4%
Beto O’Rourke: 3%
Cory Booker: 1%
Amy Klobuchar: 1%
Michelle Obama: 1%
Hillary Clinton: 1%
Candidates with less than 1% not listed
RON’S COMMENT: These numbers are based on an open-ended question and candidate names were not read. That’s why the percentages are lower than other polls that provide a list of candidate names from which to select. In any case, these results indicate that a majority of Democratic voters do not now have a strong favorite in the race. 

Among voters in each home state

% = Approve/Disapprove
TOP 10
Massachusetts, Charlie Baker (R): 73%/14%
Maryland, Larry Hogan (R): 71%/14%
New Hampshire, Chris Sununu (R): 64%/23%
Alabama, Kay Ivey (R): 63%/19%
Vermont, Phil Scott (R): 59%/28%
Arkansas, Asa Hutchinson (R): 57% /23%
Texas, Greg Abbott (R): 57%/23%
South Carolina, Henry McMaster (R): 57%/23%
North Dakota, Doug Burgum (R): 55%/21%
Tennessee, Bill Lee (R): 54%/14%
Florida, Ron DeSantis (R): 54%/20%
Delaware, John Carney (D): 54%/28%
Montana, Steve Bullock (D): 54%/28%
Nebraska, Pete Ricketts (R): 54%/32%
Wyoming, Mark Gordon (R): 53%/10%
Pennsylvania, Tom Wolf (D): 53%/32%
Idaho, Brad Little (R): 52%/16%
Mississippi, Phil Bryant (R): 52%/25%
Utah, Gary Herbert (R): 52%/27%
Arizona, Doug Ducey (R): 50%/30%
Maine, Janet Mills (D): 50%/30%
West Virginia, Jim Justice (R): 50%/36%
Indiana, Eric Holcomb (R): 49%/22%
North Carolina, Roy Cooper (D): 49%/28%
South Dakota, Kristi Noem (R): 49%/32%
New York, Andrew Cuomo (D): 49%/40%
Georgia, Brian Kemp (R): 48%/23%
Washington, Jay Inslee (D): 47%/32%
Louisiana, John Bel Edwards (D): 47%/32%
Hawaii, David Ige (D): 47%/36%
Wisconsin, Tony Evers (D): 46%/26%
Minnesota, Tim Walz (D): 45%/24%
New Jersey, Phil Murphy (D): 45%/36%
Oklahoma, Kevin Stitt (R): 44%/18%
Missouri, Mike Parson (R): 44%/18%
Michigan, Gretchen Whitmer (D): 44%/24%
Colorado, Jared Polis (D): 44%/26%
Ohio, Mike DeWine (R):44%/26%
Iowa, Kim Reynolds (R): 44%/37%
Kansas, Laura Kelly (D): 43%/20%
Nevada, Steve Sisolak (D): 43%/24%
Alaska, Mike Dunleavy (R): 42%/29%
California, Gavin Newsom (D): 41%/29%
New Mexico, Michelle Lujan Grisham (D): 41%/33%
Oregon, Kate Brown (D): 41%/44%
Illinois, J.B. Pritzker (D): 40%/29%
Virginia, Ralph Northam (D): 40%/36%
Rhode Island, Gina Raimondo (D): 40%/50%
Connecticut, Ned Lamont (D): 33%/38%
Kentucky, Matt Bevin (R): 33%/52%
RON’S COMMENT: This is the latest compilation of gubernatorial job ratings that were put together based on polling conducted from January thru the end of March and, as such, should be considered fairly rough indicators of gubernatorial popularity…. All of the top 10 governors in terms of job ratings are Republicans. Of the bottom 10, 8 are Democrats and 2 are Republicans…. Charlie Baker (R-MA) and Larry Hogan (R-MD) continue to be the most popular governors in the nation, rating over 70% in their home states. Matt Bevin (R-KY) is the least popular, with a disapproval rating 19 points higher than his approval rating…. Some governors elected in 2018, such as Bill Lee (R-TN) and Ron DeSantis (R-FL), are off to good starts, with majorities approving of their performance. Other new governors––such as Gavin Newsom (D-CA), Mike Dunleavy (R-AK) and J.B. Pritzker (D-IL)––lean positive, but have approval ratings in the low 40s…. John Bel Edwards (D-LA) faces a re-election race in October.

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: Washington Post/ABC, April 22-25
GOVERNORS: Morning Consult, January 1-March 31, 2019
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate 
G = Green Party candidate 
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.

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