Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, April 25, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 43%
Down 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 39% (Politico/Morning Consult) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would still be 43%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 10 points higher than his approval rating.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic and independent adults nationwide
Joe Biden: 24%
Bernie Sanders: 15%
Pete Buttigieg: 7%
Kamala Harris: 6%
Beto O’Rourke: 6%
Elizabeth Warren: 5%
Cory Booker: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 1%
Julian Castro: 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 1%
Steve Bullock: 1%
Andrew Yang: 1%
John Hickenlooper: 1%
Tim Ryan: 1%
Candidates with less than 1% not listed
RON’S COMMENT: This poll plots a similar candidate order as other recent polls have shown, although it has a higher undecided vote of 21%. The survey was taken a few days before Biden’s announcement…. Note: Unlike many other polls, the sample base for this one appears to be adults, not registered voters, which may explain the higher undecided number.
Among voters nationwide
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
RON’S COMMENT: While all three of these Trump Administration officials have net negative job ratings among the entire electorate, Republicans are very satisfied with them: Sanders is 65%/15%, Pompeo is 51%/13% and Barr is 55%/11%.
TESTING 2016 ELECTION ACCUSATIONS
Among voters nationwide
TRUMP COLLUSION? From what you know now, do you think Donald Trump attempted to coordinate with Russia in order to benefit his presidential campaign in 2016?
RON’S COMMENT: 65% of Democrats and 11% of Republicans believe Trump coordinated with Russia.
TRUMP CAMPAIGN COLLUSION? From what you know now, do you think any of the people who worked for Donald Trump attempted to coordinate with Russia in order to benefit Donald Trump’s presidential campaign in 2016?
RON’S COMMENT: 77% of Democrats and 17% of Republicans believe people working for Trump coordinated with Russia.
TRUE OR NOT TRUE: Do you think the following statements are true or not true?
Russia hacked the email of Democrats in order to increase the chance that Donald Trump would win the Presidential election.
Not true: 42%
RON’S COMMENT: 84% of Democrats and 30% of Republicans believe this is true.
Millions of illegal votes were cast in the election.
Not true: 51%
RON’S COMMENT: 38% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans believe this is true.
Russia tampered with vote tallies in order to get Donald Trump elected President.
Not true: 62%
RON’S COMMENT: 61% of Democrats and 16% of Republicans believe this is true.
Russia created and spread fake news stories to help Donald Trump win the election.
Not true: 41%
RON’S COMMENT: 85% of Democrats and 29% of Republicans believe this is true.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: Ipsos/Reuters, April 17-23
JOB RATINGS, TESTING 2016 ELECTION ACCUSATIONS: The Economist/YouGov, April 21-23
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.
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