Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, April 18, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 40% (Monmouth/Reuters) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would be 45%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (+2 from yesterday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.
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CANDIDATE RATINGS
Among voters nationwide
% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Joe Biden
Among all voters: 47%/45% (+2 positive over negative)
Among Democrats: 71%/18% (+53)
Bernie Sanders
Among all voters: 43%/49% (-6)
Among Democrats: 66%/23% (+43)
Kamala Harris
Among all voters: 38%/40% (-2)
Among Democrats: 57%/13% (+44)
Elizabeth Warren
Among all voters: 41%/44% (-3)
Among Democrats: 64%/13% (+51)
Pete Buttigieg
Among all voters: 32%/26% (+6)
Among Democrats: 45%/10% (+35)
Beto O’Rourke
Among all voters: 35%/40% (-5)
Among Democrats: 54%/13% (+41)
Howard Schultz
Among all voters: 16%/37% (-21)
Among independents: 13%/26% (-13)
RON’S COMMENT: Biden and Buttigieg are the only two Democrats listed who register a net positive rating among all voters (which includes Republicans, independents and Democrats)…. All of these Democratic candidates do well within their party’s electorate…. Schultz, who is gearing up a presidential run as an independent, has a net negative rating among independents of two-to-one and a net negative rating among all voters that’s a bit worse.
FAVORABILITY RATINGS
Among voters nationwide
Julian Assange: 23%/53%
Edward Snowden: 29%/46%
Chelsea Manning: 22%/49%
RON’S COMMENT: Assange has the worst negative rating of these three. His favorable rating is 18% among Democrats and independents, and 29% among Republicans. His unfavorable rating is 50% among Democrats, 37% among independents, and 45% among Republicans.
TRUMP AND IMMIGRATION
Among voters nationwide
Do you think the Trump administration is too tough in its treatment of illegal immigrants, not tough enough in its treatment, or about right?
Too tough: 41%
Not tough enough: 25%
About right: 27%
RON’S COMMENT: 52% of voters say Trump has not been tough enough or that he’s been about right…. However, when the question is about the administration’s handling of legal immigrants, the results are 43% too tough, 17% not tough enough and 32% about right.
Some people think it would be a good idea for the U.S. to close the southern border to pressure Mexico to stop the flow of migrants and illegal drugs to the U.S. Other people think closing the southern border would hurt the U.S. economy too much. What about you – do you think it would be a good idea or a bad idea to close the southern border?
Good idea: 41%
Bad idea: 53%
RON’S COMMENT: 12% of Democrats, 75% of Republicans and 31% of independents say it’s a “good idea.”
INVESTIGATING AND SPYING ON TRUMP
Among voters nationwide
[The Economist/You Gov Poll]
Do you favor or oppose an investigation into allegations that the government spied on the Trump Campaign during the 2016 presidential election?
Favor: 48%
Oppose: 30%
Not sure: 22%
RON’S COMMENT: 32% of Democrats and 68% of Republicans want an investigation into allegations that the government spied on the Trump campaign.
[Fox News Poll]
How likely do you think it is that U.S. intelligence agencies, like the FBI, broke the law in how they investigated the Trump campaign?
Very + Extremely Likely: 34%
Somewhat Likely: 23%
Not at all: 35%
RON’S COMMENT: 15% of Democrats, 58% of Republicans and 23% of independents say they think it is either very or extremely likely that U.S. intelligence agencies, like the FBI, broke the law in how they investigated the Trump campaign.
FEDERAL SPENDING
Among voters nationwide
If you were making up the budget for the federal government this year, would you increase, decrease or keep[ spending the same for…
% = Increase spending/Decrease spending
Education: 72%/9%
Veterans benefits: 72%/4%
Rebuilding highways, bridged: 62%/7%
Medicare: 55%/8%
Environmental protection: 55%/14%
Healthcare: 53%/17%
Scientific research: 52%/14%
Social Security: 48%/8%
Assistance to needy in U.S.: 46%/17%
Anti-terrorism in U.S.: 42%/14%
Military defense: 40%/23%
Assistance to needy in the world: 35%/28%
Assistance to the unemployed: 31%/23%
RON’S COMMENT: There are some major differences by party: While 56% of Republicans want to increase education spending, 84% of Democrats do…. 29% of Republicans want to increase environmental protection spending, compared to 73% of Democrats…. 27% of Republicans want to increase healthcare spending, compared to 73% of Democrats….10% of Republicans want to increase spending on assistance to the unemployed, compared to 47% of Democrats
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
TRUMP AND IMMIGRATION: Fox News, April 14-16
CANDIDATE RATINGS, FAVORABILITY RATINGS: The Economist/YouGov, April 13-16
INVESTIGATING AND SPYING ON TRUMP: The Economist/YouGov, April 13-16; Fox News, April 14-16
FEDERAL SPENDING: Pew, March 20-25
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