Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, March 7, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 43%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 38% (Quinnipiac) to 48% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 10 points higher than his approval rating.
FLORIDA: PRESIDENTIAL POLITICS
Among voters statewide
Trump re-election (among all voters)
40% of Florida voters want to re-elect President Trump
53% of Florida voters do not want to re-elect President Trump
Trump favorability (among all voters)
43% of Florida voters are favorable toward Trump
52% of Florida voters are unfavorable to Trump
RON’S COMMENT: Florida is the nation’s largest swing state. Trump beat Hillary Clinton here by about a point in 2016, receiving 49% of the vote. In the last six presidential elections, Florida has voted Republican three times and Democratic three times, mostly by tight margins.
FL Democratic primary for President (among Democratic voters)
Joe Biden: 26%
Bernie Sanders: 11%
Kamala Harris: 9%
Elizabeth Warren: 4%
Beto O’Rourke: 1%
Cory Booker: 1%
Amy Klobuchar: 1%
Michael Bloomberg: 1%
Undecided: 46%
RON’S COMMENT: Biden clearly leads the Florida presidential primary, although nearly half the voters are undecided.
FL Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) favorability (among all voters)
50% favorable
23% unfavorable
RON’S COMMENT: DeSantis was elected governor last year in a close race.
IMPEACHMENT
Among voters nationwide
Do you think President Trump should be impeached and compelled to leave the Presidency, or
not?
Yes, should be impeached: 41%
No, should not be impeached: 55%
Don’t know: 4%
RON’S COMMENT: Yesterday, we reported another poll that referred to starting the process of impeachment. This poll today asks the question point blank: Should Trump “be impeached and compelled to leave the Presidency.” A majority of voters say no, he should not be. By party: 8% of Republicans, 40% of independents and 75% of Democrats say Trump should be impeached and compelled to leave office…. With numbers like these, Democrats would be taking a major political risk by starting the impeachment process at this point.
RUSSIA INVESTIGATION
Among voters nationwide
A special counsel is currently conducting an investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and possible links with the Trump campaign. Should the Russia investigation continue or should it end?
Continue investigation: 53%
End investigation: 44%
RON’S COMMENT: 18% of Republicans, 51% of independents and 85% of Democrats say the Mueller investigation should continue.
Do you think Donald Trump did or did not personally ask anyone to mislead government investigators or Congress on his business dealings or Russian interference in the election?
Did: 48%
Did not: 37%
RON’S COMMENT: 14% of Republicans, 49% of independents and 77% of Democrats say Trump did personally ask somebody to mislead government investigators or Congress.
KEEPING TRUMP IN CHECK
Among voters nationwide
Should keeping President Trump in check be a major priority, minor priority, or not a priority of Congress?
Major priority: 52%
Minor priority: 22%
Not a priority: 24%
COHEN’S TESTIMONY
Among voters nationwide
How honest do you think Michael Cohen was in his testimony before the House committee – completely honest, mostly honest, just partly honest, or not at all honest?
Completely or mostly honest: 38%
Just partly honest: 24%
Not at all honest: 17%
[VOLUNTEERED] Don’t Know: 6%
Not aware of testimony: 15%
RON’S COMMENT: 14% of Republicans, 30% of independents and 66% of Democrats say Cohen was completely or mostly honest.
Do you think the Republican members of the House committee were more interested in getting at the truth or more interested in defending Trump no matter what the facts showed?
More interested in getting at the truth: 23%
More interested in defending Trump: 49%
[VOLUNTEERED] Depends/don’t know: 11%
Not aware of testimony: 15%
Do you think the Democratic members of the House committee were more interested in getting at the truth or more interested in undermining Trump no matter what the facts showed?
More interested in getting at the truth: 32%
More interested in undermining Trump: 47%
[VOLUNTEERED] Depends/don’t know: 6%
Not aware of testimony: 15%
RON’S COMMENT: Most voters think the House committee was more interested in playing pro- or anti-Trump politics than getting at the truth, although a bit more say the Democrats were getting at the truth.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
FLORIDA: Bendixen & Amandi, March 1-4
IMPEACHMENT, MUELLER INVESTIGATION, COHEN’S TESTIMONY: Monmouth Univ., March 1-4
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