Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, February 14, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Down 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 39% (Reuters) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would still be 45%….President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today, which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.
GREEN NEW DEAL
Among voters nationwide
How much, if anything, have you heard in the news recently about the Green New Deal?
Heard a lot/little: 69%
Heard nothing: 31%
From what you know about it now do you support or oppose the Green New Deal?
Support: 27%
Oppose: 31%
Neither: 12%
Not sure: 30%
RON’S COMMENT: 42% of Democrats, 8% of Republicans and 17% of independents support the general concept of the Green New Deal, which is a wide-ranging package of economic, social, environmental, land use, labor and trade goals and policies mostly advocated by politicians and groups on the left side of the Democratic Party…. Also, 4% of Democrats, 54% of Republicans and 24% of independents oppose the general concept.
Looking at elements of the Green New Deal:
Do you support or oppose the federal government adopting the following policies?
Ensuring that public lands, waters, and oceans are protected and that eminent domain is not abused.
Support: 78%
Oppose: 9%
RON’S COMMENT: 82% of Democrats and 63% of Republicans support this goal, which is the most popular element of the Green New Deal that was tested in this poll. Note that most of these poll questions don’t explain how these goals will be achieved.
Making public investments in the research and development of new clean and renewable energy technologies and industries.
Support: 66%
Oppose: 17%
RON’S COMMENT: 75% of Democrats and 44% of Republicans support this goal.
Providing all people of the United States with high-quality health care; affordable, safe, and adequate housing; economic security; and access to clean water, clean air, healthy and affordable food, and nature.
Support: 58%
Oppose: 27%
RON’S COMMENT: 80% of Democrats and 32% of Republicans support this goal.
Directing investments to spur economic development, deepen and diversify industry in local and regional economies, and build wealth and community ownership, while prioritizing high-quality job creation and economic, social, and environmental benefits in frontline and vulnerable communities that may otherwise struggle with the transition away from greenhouse gas intensive industries.
Support: 47%
Oppose: 25%
RON’S COMMENT: 63% of Democrats and 26% of Republicans support this initiative.
Ensuring the use of democratic and participatory processes that are inclusive of and led by frontline and vulnerable communities and workers to plan, implement, and administer the Green New Deal mobilization at the local level.
Support: 37%
Oppose: 30%
RON’S COMMENT: 55% of Democrats and 14% of Republicans support this goal.
Ensuring that the Federal Government takes into account the complete environmental and social costs and impacts of emissions through—existing laws; new policies and programs; and ensuring that frontline and vulnerable communities shall not be adversely affected.
Support: 54%
Oppose: 21%
RON’S COMMENT: 67% of Democrats and 30% of Republicans agree with this proposal.
Obtaining the free, prior, and informed consent of indigenous people for all decisions that affect indigenous people and their traditional territories, honoring all treaties and agreements with indigenous people, and protecting and enforcing the sovereignty and land rights of indigenous people.
Support: 57%
Oppose: 18%
RON’S COMMENT: 72% of Democrats and 33% of Republicans favor this idea.
Ensuring a commercial environment where every businessperson is free from unfair competition and domination by domestic or international monopolies.
Support: 54%
Oppose: 17%
RON’S COMMENT: 58% of Democrats and 41% of Republicans agree.
Providing resources, training, and high-quality education, including higher education, to all people of the United States, with a focus on frontline and vulnerable communities, so those communities may be full and equal participants in the Green New Deal mobilization.
Support: 46%
Oppose: 30%
RON’S COMMENT: 69% of Democrats and 17% of Republicans support this initiative.
Guaranteeing a job with a family-sustaining wage, adequate family and medical leave, paid vacations, and retirement security to all people of the United States.
Support: 54%
Oppose: 30%
RON’S COMMENT: 74% of Democrats and 31% of Republicans support this initiative.
Strengthening and protecting the right of all workers to organize, unionize, and collectively bargain free of coercion, intimidation, and harassment.
Support: 62%
Oppose: 20%
RON’S COMMENT: 76% of Democrats and 37% of Republicans support this labor initiative.
Strengthening and enforcing labor, workplace health and safety, antidiscrimination, and wage and hour standards across all employers, industries, and sectors.
Support: 63%
Oppose: 20%
RON’S COMMENT: 78% of Democrats and 43% of Republicans support this goal.
Enacting and enforcing trade rules, procurement standards, and border adjustments with strong labor and environmental protections— to stop the transfer of jobs and pollution overseas; and to grow domestic manufacturing in the United States.
Support: 64%
Oppose: 12%
RON’S COMMENT: 66% of Democrats and 56% of Republicans support these goals.
Ensuring that the Green New Deal mobilization creates high-quality union jobs that pay prevailing wages, hires local workers, offers training and advancement opportunities, and guarantees wage and benefit parity for workers affected by the transition.
Support: 46%
Oppose: 29%
RON’S COMMENT: 66% of Democrats and 20% of Republicans support this goal.
Providing and leveraging, in a way that ensures that the public receives appropriate ownership stakes and returns on investment, adequate capital (including through community grants, public banks, and other public financing), technical expertise, supporting policies, and other forms of assistance to communities, organizations, Federal, State, and local government agencies, and businesses working on the Green New Deal mobilization.
Support: 39%
Oppose: 28%
RON’S COMMENT: This question is so convoluted and confusing that it’s difficult to interpret what this result really means.
MACRON IN FRANCE
Among voters in France
President Emmanuel Macron Job Rating
(average based on last three polls)
27% Approve
69% Disapprove
RON’S COMMENT: This poll average shows Macron’s approval rating to be in la benne à ordures. The three previous polls had his approval rating at 30%.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
GREEN NEW DEAL: The Economist/YouGov, Feb. 10-12
MACRON IN FRANCE: Elabe, Ifop-Fiducial, YouGov: Jan. 30-Feb. 6
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