LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Economic Optimism Cools – Shutdown – Immigration

Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, January 25, 2019

TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 41%
Same as yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on eight polls, ranging from 36% (CBS) to 44% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would still be 41%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 56% today, which is 15 points higher than his approval rating.

BORDER SECURITY, IMMIGRATION
Among voters nationwide

When it comes to border security, which party do you trust most? 

Democratic Party: 38%
Republican Party: 37%
Both equally: 3%
Neither: 19%

RON’S COMMENT: The two parties run close on border security. While 45% of independents trust neither party on the issue, 22% favor the GOP and 15% favor Democrats.

When it comes to immigration reform, which party do you trust most? 

Democratic Party: 44%
Republican Party: 36%
Both equally: 2%
Neither: 15%

RON’S COMMENT: Democrats have a clear lead on immigration reform. While 40% of independents trust neither party on the issue, 21% favor the GOP and 21% favor Democrats.

Do you support or oppose a law that would grant permanent legal status to “Dreamers”, otherwise law-abiding children and young adults who were brought into the United States at a very young age by parents who are illegal immigrants? 

Support: 67%
Oppose: 24%

RON’S COMMENT: 83% of Democrats, 53% of independents and 44% of Republicans support DACA.

Do you favor or oppose building a wall along the US-Mexico border to try to stop illegal immigration? 

Favor: 44%
Oppose: 49%

RON’S COMMENT: 9% of Democrats and 83% of Republicans support the wall. Independents fall in the middle.

SHUTDOWN
Among voters nationwide

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the people below are handling the partial federal government shutdown? 

% = Approve/Disapprove
Nancy Pelosi: 41%/48%
Mitch McConnell: 25%/57%
Donald Trump: 39%/58%

RON’S COMMENT: 80% of Republicans approve of Trump’s handling of the shutdown and 15% disapprove. Among independents, it’s 31% approve/56% disapprove. Among Democrats, it’s 6% approve/89% disapprove.

Do you approve or disapprove of Nancy Pelosi postponing or canceling the President’s State of the Union Address until after the until after the ended? 

Approve: 46%
Disapprove: 44%

RON’S COMMENT: 70% of Democrats, 16% of Republicans and 34% of independents approve of delaying the State of the Union speech.

NATIONAL CONDITIONS
Among voters nationwide

Overall, do you think the country is better off or worse off today than it was a year ago?

Better: 34%
Worse: 50%
Same: 14%

RON’S COMMENT: This Fox News poll shows that half of the electorate believes things are worse than they were a year ago and about a third thinks they’re better.

On a scale of excellent, good, only fair and poor, how would you rate economic conditions today?

Excellent/good: 41%
Only fair/poor: 56%

RON’S COMMENT: A 56% majority of voters now lean negative on the economy. That’s up from 48% in October.

year from now, do you think the economy will be stronger or weaker than it is now?

Stronger: 37%
Weaker: 38%
About the same: 14%

RON’S COMMENT: According to this Fox News poll, economic optimism has cooled off. Now at 37%, it’s down from 55% two years ago.

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SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
SHUTDOWN, BORDER SECURITY, IMMIGRATION: The Economist/YouGov, Jan. 20-22
NATIONAL CONDITIONS: Fox News, Jan. 20-22

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