Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, December 6, 2018
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 43%
Down 1 from Tuesday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 39% (IBD/TIPP) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would be 42%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today, which is 10 points higher than his approval rating.
DECEMBER PUBLISHING SCHEDULE:
Lunchtime Politics will be published Tuesdays and Thursdays between now and Dec. 20. We will resume daily weekday publication January 3rd.
BUSH 41: A NATION’S RESPECT
Among voters nationwide
Favorable: 71%
Unfavorable: 23%
RON’S COMMENT: Even a majority of Democrats (60%) have a favorable opinion of former President George H.W. Bush. And, 80% of Republicans agree…. This poll also found that 65% of voters nationwide approved of the job he did as president. Most voters viewed him as a conservative (38%) or a moderate (27%). Only 8% said he was very conservative and only 7% said he was liberal.
REPUBLICANS LABEL THEMSELVES
Among Republican voters nationwide
[ASKED OF REPUBLICANS] Which of the following labels do you most identify with as a Republican? Please rank your top three labels…. You may select up to three options.
Conservative Republican: 42%
Trump Republican: 39%
Reagan Republican: 31%
Christian Conservative: 27%
Fiscal Conservative: 22%
Moderate Republican: 22%
Compassionate Conservative: 17%
Social Conservative: 16%
Nationalist: 13%
Bush Republican: 11%
Heartland Republican: 10%
Liberal Republican: 8%
Libertarian: 7%
Alt-Right: 3%
Populist: 2%
RON’S COMMENT: Most Republicans see themselves as “Conservative Republicans,” “Trump Republicans” or “Reagan Republicans” with “Christian Conservatives” ranking a fairly close fourth. Choices add up to more than 100% because Republican respondents had the opportunity to select three labels to identify themselves.
DEMOCRATS LABEL THEMSELVES
Among Democratic voters nationwide
[ASKED OF DEMOCRATS] Which of the following labels do you most identify with as a Democrat. Please rank your top three labels…. You may select up to three options.
Obama Democrat: 44%
Liberal Democrat: 37%
Moderate Democrat: 32%
Environmentalist: 28%
Clinton Democrat: 24%
Socialist/Democratic Socialist: 22%
Conservative Democrat: 17%
Fiscally Conservative Democrat: 14%
Socially Conservative Democrat: 13%
Trump Democrat: 4%
Nationalist: 3%
Populist: 2%
Communist: 1%
Antifa: 1%
RON’S COMMENT: Most Democrats see themselves as “Obama Democrats” or “Liberal Democrats.” Following those are “Moderate Democrats” and “Environmentalists.” “Clinton Democrats” and “Socialist Democrats” are running close. Choices add up to more than 100% because Democratic respondents had the opportunity to select three labels to identify themselves.
BORDER WALL FUNDING, SHUTDOWN
Among voters nationwide
Should Congressional Democrats approve funding for a border wall to avoid a partial government shutdown on December 7th?
Ye: 47%
No: 53%
CONGRESS AND DYSFUNCTION
Among voters nationwide
Do you believe that Congress today functions well and gets things done for the American people, or is Congress dysfunctional and very little gets done for the American people?
Congress functions well and gets things done: 24%
Congress is dysfunctional and very little gets done: 76%
Do you think that the problems in Congress are mostly the fault of both parties’ leaders or the rank-and-file members?
Party leaders: 48%
Rank and file members: 43%
No significant problems with Congress: 9%
Do you think that Democrats and Republicans in the next Congress should stick to their principles even if it means gridlock and lack of compromise, or work across party lines?
Stick to their principles: 28%
Work across party lines: 72%
RON’S COMMENT: As usual, voters want Congress to work across party lines to get things done.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
CONGRESS AND DYSFUNCTION, REPUBLICANS LABEL THEMSELVES, DEMOCRATS LABEL THEMSELVES, BORDER WALL FUNDING, SHUTDOWN: Harvard-Harris, Nov. 27-28
BUSH 41: The Economist/YouGov, Dec. 2-4
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