LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Business, Issue Advocacy – DC, Puerto Rico Statehood – Climate Change – Boston, NYC Mayor – Biden Too Liberal?

Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, April 30, 2021

Same as a week ago

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 48% (Rasmussen) to 60% (Politico). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 42% today (same as a week ago). KEEP IN MIND: Biden’s job approval indicates that he’s holding those voters who did NOT vote for Trump (53% in the 2020 election).

Among voters citywide

Michelle Wu: 19%
Kim Janney: 18%
Annissa Essabi George: 8%
Andrew Campbell: 4%
John Barros: 3%
John Santiago: 3%
Undecided: 46%
RON’S COMMENT: This race remains wide open with nearly half the Democratic primary electorate still undecided. Wu isBoston city councilor at-large and is supported by Sen. Elizabeth WarrenJanney is currently acting mayor and a city councilor. George and Campbell are city councilors…. Former mayor Marty Walsh resigned recently to become Secretary of Labor in the Biden administration…. If more than two candidates make the ballot, a preliminary election will be held in September. The general election is in November.

Among Democratic voters citywide

Democratic primary
Andrew Yang: 22%
Eric Adams: 17%
Scott Stringer: 11%
Maya Wiley: 8%
Ray McGuire: 9%
Shaun Donovan: 7%
Diane Morales: 7%
Kathryn Garcia: 5%
RON’S COMMENT: Yang holds the lead, but Adams has tightened the gap. The last poll we reported had Yang ahead by 9 points…. There’s still plenty of time for shifts to occur as voters become more interested. Party primaries are June 22 and the general election is Nov. 2. They will use ranked-choice voting which complicates polling.

Among voters nationwide

When it comes to taking public positions, do you think American businesses should or should not take a public position on any of the following things? 
Support LGBTQ rights organizations 
Should take a position: 44%
Should not take a position: 38%
Support feminist organizations 
Should take a position: 45%
Should not take a position: 36%
Support voting rights organizations 
Should take a position: 53%
Should not take a position: 33%
Support civil rights organizations 
Should take a position: 56%
Should not take a position: 32%
Support climate change/environmentalist organizations 
Should take a position: 56%
Should not take a position: 32%
RON’S COMMENT: There is a big partisan divide when it comes to business supporting various advocacy efforts. For example:  

  • 82% of Democrats, 28% of Republicans, 50% of independents say business should take a position in support of climate change/environmentalist organizations 
  • 80% of Democrats, 29% of Republicans, 52% of independents say business should take a position in support of civil rights organizations 
  • 77% of Democrats, 30% of Republicans, 47% of independents say business should take a position in support of voting rights organizations
  • 69% of Democrats, 18% of Republicans, 40% of independents say business should take a position in support of LGBTQ rights organizations
  • 65% of Democrats, 23% of Republicans, 40% of independents say business should take a position in support of feminist organizations 

Among voters nationwide

How concerned are you about climate change? 
Very/somewhat concerned: 62%
Not so concerned/not concerned at all: 32%
RON’S COMMENT: 92% of Democrats, 37% of Republicans, 56% of independents are “very” or “somewhat” concerned about climate change.
Do you think the threat of climate change has been exaggerated, or not? 
Exaggerated: 40% 
Has not been exaggerated: 48% 
Not sure: 12%
RON’S COMMENT: 12% of Democrats, 66% of Republicans, 44% of independents, 46% of men, 29% of women, 29% of those 18-29 and 42% of those 65 and older say the threat of climate change has been exaggerated…. This poll also finds that 49% of voters attribute “the severity of hurricanes, Western wildfires, and winter storms over the past two years” to climate change, while 40% do not.

Among voters nationwide

Would you favor or oppose making Washington, D.C. a U.S. state? 
Favor: 37%
Oppose: 42%
RON’S COMMENT: 66% of Biden voters and 7% of Trump voters favor DC statehood.

Among voters nationwide

Would you favor or oppose making Puerto Rico a U.S. state? 
Favor: 43%
Oppose: 31%
RON’S COMMENT: 71% of Biden voters, 18% of Trump voters and 51% of Hispanics favor Puerto Rico statehood.

Among voters nationwide

Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following statements: Joe Biden Is too liberal 
Agree: 40%
Disagree: 43%
RON’S COMMENT: While only 40% of voters think Biden is too liberal (which will surprise Republicans) only 43% say he’s NOT too liberal (which will concern Democrats)…. 18% of Democrats, 73% of Republicans, 39% of independents say that Biden is too liberal.

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
BOSTON MAYOR: MassInc/WBUR/Dorcester Reporter, April 7-11
NYC MAYOR: Benenson (D)/Students First NY, April 16-21
BIDEN IDEOLOGY: Politico/Morning Consult, April 24-26

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

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