Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, March 16, 2021
BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 55%
Up 1 from last average
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 52% (Rasmussen) to 59% (Politico). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 41% today (+1 from last average).
SENATE: GEORGIA 2022
Among voters statewide
General Election
Herschel Walker (R) over Sen. Raphael Warnock (D): +2 (48-46)
Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) over Doug Collins (R): +1 (46-45)
Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) over Kelly Loeffler (R): +5 (46-41)
3-Way Republican Primary
Herschel Walker (R): 33%
Doug Collins (R): 33%
Kelly Loeffler (R): 24%
2-Way Republican Primary
Doug Collins (R): 52%
Kelly Loeffler (R): 32%
2-Way Republican Primary
Herschel Walker (R): 50%
Doug Collins (R): 36%
2-Way Republican Primary
Herschel Walker (R): 62%
Kelly Loeffler (R): 26%
RON’S COMMENT: Looks like football legend Walker, a Trump favorite, would be a formidable Senate candidate if he would run. He has a favorable rating in the state of 81%. Walker played college ball for the Univ. of Georgia and won the 1982 Heisman Trophy before his USFL/NFL career (1983-97)…. At this point, Loeffler, who was appointed to the Senate by Gov. Brian Kemp and lost the 2020 general election to Warnock, trails all primary match-ups…. Many local pols think Collins will run against Kemp for governor in the GOP primary…. Kemp’s job rating is 33% approve/53% disapprove.
NEW YORK: GOV. ANDREW CUOMO
Among voters statewide
Cuomo personal rating
Favorable: 43%
Unfavorable: 45%
RON’S COMMENT: Cuomo’s favorable rating is 59% among Democrats, 15% among Republicans, 38% among independents, 42% among men and 44% among women.
Cuomo re-election
If Andrew Cuomo runs for re-election as governor in 2022, as things stand now, would you vote to re-elect Cuomo or would you prefer someone else?
Re-elect Cuomo: 34%
Prefer someone else: 52%
Don’t know: 14%
RON’S COMMENT: The Cuomo Dichotomy––most New York voters don’t want him to resign (35% favor resignation, 50% oppose it), but they don’t want him to be re-elected, either (34% favor re-election, 52% prefer someone else). By party: 40% of Democrats, 83% of Republicans and 50% of independents do not want Democrat Cuomo to be re-elected…. From the Siena poll report:
- “By 48-34 percent, [voters] say [Cuomo] can continue to effectively do his job as governor.”
- “One-third of voters say that Cuomo has committed sexual harassment, one-quarter say he has not, and a plurality are unsure. Voters are satisfied with the way Cuomo has addressed the allegations, 57-32 percent….”
- “Voters approve of Cuomo’s handling of the pandemic, 60-33 percent, virtually unchanged from 61-34 percent last month. Voters give Cuomo positive grades on four specifics related to the pandemic – communicating, providing accurate information, reopening plans, and managing the vaccine rollout – however, when it comes to making COVID-related nursing home death data public, voters give Cuomo a negative grade, 27-66 percent.”
TEXAS: GOV. GREG ABBOTT
Among voters statewide
Abbott Job Rating
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 43%
RON’S COMMENT: Abbott’s job rating is still in positive territory, but it’s declining. In early February, he was 59% approve/32% disapprove. From the Morning Consult poll report on why Republican Abbott’s ratings have shifted:
- “…Abbott’s standing with independent voters has taken a hit in recent weeks: Between the start of the winter crisis and Abbott’s repeal of COVID-19 restrictions, his job approval rating among independents fell 6 points, to 48 percent, and dropped another 7 points, to 41 percent, after he announced his executive action on the pandemic. The latest survey found 52 percent of Texas independents disapprove of the governor’s job performance, up 20 points since early February.”
TUESDAY TRIVIA
Four governors of New York were elected President of the U.S. Name them.
(See answer below)
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
GEORGIA: Trafalgar (R)/Insider Advantage, March 7-9
TEXAS: Morning Consult, March 5-14
NEW YORK: Siena College, March 8-12
Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron
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TRIVIA ANSWER
Martin Van Buren, Grover Cleveland, Theodore Roosevelt and Franklin Roosevelt served as governor of New York before becoming president.
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