LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Trump, Impeachment and Acquittal – 2024 GOP Prospects

Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, February 16, 2021

Up 3 from Thursday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 53% (Economist, Rasmussen) to 62% (Politico). Without these extremes it would be 59%…. Biden’s disapproval rating averages 39% today (-1 since Thursday).

Among adults nationwide

ABC/Ipsos Poll
As you may know, Donald Trump was not convicted by the U.S. Senate in the impeachment trial this week. Do you think Donald Trump should have been or should not have been convicted in the Senate impeachment trial and barred from holding federal office in the future? 
Should have been: 58%
Should not have been: 41%
Regardless of the Senate’s verdict, do you think the charges against Donald Trump were: 
Serious enough for him to be impeached and put on trial: 61%
Not serious enough, and the impeachment and trial never should have happened: 39% 
How would you rate the evidence against Donald Trump in the Senate impeachment trial? 
Very/somewhat strong: 57%
Very/somewhat weak: 37%
Quinnipiac Poll
Do you think former President Trump is responsible for inciting violence against the government of the United States, or don’t you think so?
Yes/responsible: 54%
No: 43%
RON’S COMMENT: 11% of Republicans, 96% of Democrats and 52% of independents say Trump is responsible for inciting violence.
Do you think former President Trump should be allowed to hold elected office in the future, or not?
Yes, allowed: 43%
No: 55%
RON’S COMMENT: 87% of Republicans, 6% of Democrats and 42% of independents say Trump should be allowed to hold elected office in the future.
Would you like to see Donald Trump play a prominent role in the Republican Party, or not?
Yes: 34%
No: 60%
RON’S COMMENT: While most Americans do not want Trump to play a prominent role in the Republican Party, most Republicans disagree; 75% of them want him to continue to play a prominent role in their party.

Among Republican voters nationwide

Donald Trump: 54%
Mike Pence: 12%
Nikki Haley: 6%
Donald Trump, Jr.: 6%
Mitt Romney: 4%
Ted Cruz: 3%
Others: 11%
RON’S COMMENT: Trump keeps his hold on a majority of Republicans in this poll, with 60% of GOP voters casting a vote for a Trump. Says the Morning Consult poll report: “Former President Donald Trump has emerged from his second impeachment trial relatively unscathed with Republican voters in yet another sign of his continued strength with the party’s base.”


How many senators voted to convict Bill Clinton on the perjury impeachment charge?
How many senators voted to convict Bill Clinton on the obstruction impeachment charge?
(See answer below)

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
TRUMP, IMPEACHMENT AND ACQUITTAL: ABC/Ipsos, Feb. 13-14; Quinnipiac, Feb. 11-14
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY FOR 2024: Morning Consult, Feb. 9-13
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Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least twice a week. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron
45 senators voted to convict Clinton on the perjury charge.
50 senators voted to convict Clinton on the obstruction charge.
(10 Republican senators voted against convicting Clinton on perjury and 5 Republican senators voted against the obstruction charge.)

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