LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Georgia Senate Update, New Numbers

Your Daily Polling Update for Sunday, December 20, 2020

U.S. SENATE ELECTIONS
Among voters statewide

GEORGIA (Special Election)
(Emerson) Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) over Raphael Warnock (D): +3 (51-48)
(Trafalgar-R) Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) over Raphael Warnock (D): +6 (52-46)
Average of last three polls: Loeffler +3.3
 
GEORGIA (Regular Election)
(Emerson) Sen. David Perdue (R) over Jon Ossoff (D): +3 (51-48) 
(Trafalgar-R) Sen. David Perdue (R) over Jon Ossoff (D): +2 (50-48)
Average of last three polls: Perdue +2
 
COMMENT: Both new polls show Republicans Loeffler and Perdue leading, but it’s still close enough for turnout to be decisive. 

  • How did the polls do in November? The final polling average for the November 3 election in Georgia had Ossoff ahead of Perdue by 1.2 points; in the actual election, Perdue led by 1.8 points. The final Emerson College poll in November showed Ossoff ahead by 1 point.

SELECTION OF TV ADS IN GEORGIA SENATE RACE
 
Perdue ads:
https://youtu.be/5BUUWuGrZzc
https://youtu.be/U02uE2o57GE
https://youtu.be/Kww8w6Ydfls
https://youtu.be/8jMAOFuqN1Q
 
Ossoff ads: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WK8OhS4NgX8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXsduF1J0kA
https://thegrio.com/2020/12/10/jon-ossoff-campaign-ad-the-talk/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TscqODJSHnE
 
Warnock and Ossoff:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9RJosAtsn4
 
Anti-Ossoff:
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/12/17/sen-david-perdue-campaign-releases-ad-democrat-georgia-senate-candidate-jon-ossoffs-shady-china-connection/
 
Anti-Warnock and Ossoff:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/12/18/georgia-gop-attack-ad-runoff-stakes/
 
Anti-Perdue:
https://www.newsweek.com/veterans-group-almost-2-milion-perdue-advert-1555906

We will have more ads as we get closer to the election.

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