Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, November 19, 2020
CURRENT VOTE TALLY
2020 presidential election
Joe Biden: 79.5 million (51%)
Donald Trump: 73.6 million (47.2%)
Biden’s vote margin over Trump: 5.9 million
Biden’s % margin over Trump: 3.8 points
GEORGIA SENATE RUNOFFS
Among voters statewide
Raphael Warnock (D) over Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R): +1 (49-48)
Sen. David Perdue (R) and Jon Ossoff (D): even (49-49)
RON’S COMMENT: This poll shows highly competitive battles for both January Senate runoffs…. Said pollster Matt Towery, who conducted the survey: “At this time I would say that the Republican candidates might both be slight underdogs as of now. That will come as a shock to people who have not followed the shift in demographics and voting patterns in Georgia. Either race can be won by either party’s nominee.” ….This poll also also finds that Republican Gov. Brian Kemp’s job rating is net negative: 37% approve, 44% disapprove.
SHOULD TRUMP CONCEDE?
Among voters statewide
Do you think Donald Trump should concede the election, or not?
He should concede: 60%
He should NOT concede: 40%
RON’S COMMENT: 95% of Biden’s voters and 21% of Trump’s voters say he should concede…. This poll also finds that 62% of voters believe Trump should start the transition.
HANDLING THE TRANSITION
Among voters nationwide
Rating of Joe Biden’s handling of the transition:
RON’S COMMENT: Biden is getting good marks from voters on the transition. Though he received 51% of the votes cast in the election, a more robust 60% approve of his handling of the transition so far. Nearly three out of 10 Republicans––who overwhelmingly voted against the Democrat for president––now give him good marks for his work since then…. This poll also finds that pandemic-related issues rank one, two, and three, topping all possible Biden initiatives in terms of importance for his first 100 days.
What voters say about President Trump and the transition:
Trump is not doing enough to help with the transition: 54%
Trump is doing the right amount to help with the transition: 21%
Trump is doing too much to help with the transition: 7%
Trump is not doing enough to help with the transition: 72%
Trump is doing the right amount to help with the transition: 11%
Trump is doing too much to help with the transition: 5%
Trump is not doing enough to help with the transition: 23%
Trump is doing the right amount to help with the transition: 37%
Trump is doing too much to help with the transition: 12%
RON’S COMMENT: Fewer than four in 10 Republicans think Trump is doing the right amount to help with the transition.
GEORGIA SENATE RUNOFFS: Fox 5/InsiderAdvantage, Nov. 16
SHOULD TRUMP CONCEDE? The Economist/YouGov, Nov. 15-17
HANDLING THE TRANSITION: Morning Consult, Nov. 13-16
Subscription note: If you ever stop receiving Lunchtime Politics, check your spam or junk folders. Sometimes, for mysterious reasons, the newsletter may re-route to there. Please know that we will never take you off our subscriber list unless you ask us to do so.
Follow here to get the latest updates on the Lunchtime Politics.