Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, August 20, 2020
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 43%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 39% (Politico) to 51% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes it would still be 43%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 55% today, which is 12 points higher than his approval rating…. See the trend in Trump’s job approval average since the beginning of 2020 at approval trend.
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
Among general election voters
NATIONWIDE
(Rasmussen) Biden over Trump: +4 (48-44)
Average of last six polls: Biden +7.6
RON’S COMMENT: Our polling average continues to show Biden well ahead. The Rasmussen poll, which often shows Trump doing much better than other polls, finds a closer race. The previous Rasmussen poll had Biden ahead by 6 points.
VOTER OPINION AND THE CORONAVIRUS
Among voters nationwide
Outlook: Looking at the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S., do you believe that…
The pandemic is going to get worse: 40%
We are currently in the worst part of the pandemic: 22%
The worst part of the pandemic is behind us: 24%
RON’S COMMENT: 60% of Biden voters and 15% of Trump voters say the pandemic is going to get worse…. 5% of Biden voters and 49% of Trump voters say the worst part of the pandemic is behind us.
Local Cases: Do you think the number of cases of COVID-19 in the community where you live is..
Increasing: 37%
Not changing: 23%
Decreasing: 26%
RON’S COMMENT: 52% of Biden voters and 19% of Trump voters think the number of cases in their community is increasing…. 14% of Biden voters and 44% of Trump voters think the number of cases in their community is decreasing.
Rating Trump: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s handling of COVID-19 outbreak?
Approve: 41%
Disapprove: 58%
RON’S COMMENT: Interestingly, 10% of Trump’s voters disapprove of his handling of the pandemic…. Among independents, 33% approve and 55% disapprove.
Rating the federal government: How well do you think the federal government has handled COVID-19 so far?
Excellent/Good: 25%
Fair/Poor: 71%
RON’S COMMENT: Voters are strongly dissatisfied with the federal government’s handling of the pandemic …. 8% of Biden voters and 51% of Trump voters rate the federal government’s handling of the pandemic positively (excellent or good).
Rating state governments: How well do you think your state government has handled COVID-19 so far?
Excellent/Good: 41%
Fair/Poor: 56%
RON’S COMMENT: Voters give their state governments net negative ratings…. 42% of Biden voters and 44% of Trump voters rate their state government’s handling of the pandemic positively (excellent or good).
Rating local governments: How well do you think your local government has handled COVID-19 so far?
Excellent/Good: 46%
Fair/Poor: 48%
RON’S COMMENT: Voters give their local government higher ratings than their state government or the federal government, but they are still net negative…. 42% of Biden voters and 44% of Trump voters rate their local government’s handling of the pandemic positively (excellent or good).
Masks: Would you support or oppose a policy that made it mandatory to wear masks in public places?
Support: 71%
Oppose: 26%
RON’S COMMENT: 95% of Biden voters and 41% of Trump voters support a policy that makes it mandatory to wear masks in public places.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL PRESIDENTIAL: Rasmussen, Aug. 12-18
VOTER OPINION AND THE CORONAVIRUS: The Economist/YouGov, Aug. 16-18
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