Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, February 17, 2020
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Same as Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 43% (Politico) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 45%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today, which is 8 points higher than his approval.
DIRECTION OF COUNTRY
Among voters nationwide
% = Right Direction / Wrong Track
Reuters: 34%/53%
The Economist: 40%/53%
Politico: 43%/57%
Monmouth: 38%/57%
Average: 38.8%/55%
RON’S COMMENT: The average of these four polls show “right direction” to be nearly 39%. Over the past year, “right direction” has gone up 4.5 points and “wrong track” has gone down 4 points. Improved “right direction” numbers are good news for incumbents.
GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL VOTE
Among voters nationwide
% = Vote for Democrats / Vote for Republicans
Politico: 45%/41%
The Economist: 48%/40%
RON’S COMMENT: Two recent polls show Democrats leading the generic Congressional ballot by margins ranging from 4 to 8 points…. In The Economist poll, independent voters break for Republican candidates 38-33. Only 1% of Democratic voters would vote for a Republican for Congress and only 4% of Republican voters would vote for a Democrat for Congress.
TRUMP ISSUE APPROVAL
Among voters nationwide
“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling…”
% = Approve/Disapprove
The economy: 52%/42%
Veterans: 50%/42%
Terrorism: 48%/45%
Immigration: 48%/50%
Taxes: 45%/49%
Foreign policy: 44%/51%
Civil rights: 43%/48%
Gun control: 43%/50%
Education: 42%/48%
Healthcare: 42%/52%
Women’s rights: 41%/49%
Abortion: 40%/47%
Social Security: 40%/51%
Medicare: 40%/51%
The environment: 40%/54%
The budget deficit: 36%/56%
Gay rights: 34%/48%
RON’S COMMENT: Trump is net positive on three issues: The economy +10, veterans +8 and terrorism +3. He’s net negative on everything else, although he’s fairly close on immigration…. On the economy, his approval rating is 40% among those with household income below $50k, 53% among those with household income between $50-100k and 55% among those with household income above $100k…. On civil rights, his approval rating is 43% among whites and 17% among blacks…. On women’s rights, his approval rating is 42% among men and 34% among women…. On Social Security, his approval rating is 46% among people 65 and older…. On healthcare, his approval rating is 10% among Democrats, 35% among independents and 79% among Republicans.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
DIRECTION OF COUNTRY, GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL VOTE, TRUMP ISSUE APPROVAL: The Economist/YouGov, Feb. 9-11
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