Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, October 1, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Down 1 since yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 41% (Quinnipiac) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (same as yesterday), which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 32%
Elizabeth Warren: 21%
Bernie Sanders: 19%
Kamala Harris: 6%
Pete Buttigieg: 5%
Beto O’Rourke: 3%
Cory Booker: 3%
Andrew Yang: 3%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Good news for Biden––a national poll that does not show him dropping. Other than Warren going up a point, there was not much change in this poll from last week …. Important to note: Biden’s involvement in the Ukraine news, and his running battle with Trump over the matter, has not negatively impacted his national primary vote share or his overall favorability among Democrats. Biden’s current rating is 73% favorable/19% unfavorable, that compares to 72% favorable/20% unfavorable two weeks ago…. In the subsample of early primary states (IA, NH, SC and NV), Biden leads with 31%, then Warren 20% and Sanders 18%.
Among voters or adults nationwide
Do you think that President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, or don’t you think so?
Yes, impeach/remove: 47%
Based on what you have read or heard, do you believe that President Trump should be impeached and
removed from office, or don’t you feel that way?
Should be impeached and removed from office: 47%
Don’t feel that way: 45%
RON’S COMMENT: Two polls show similar results, with support for impeachment and removal sitting under 50%. In Quinnipiac’s poll, support for impeachment has grown 10 points since last week. Democratic support has consolidated, with independents leaning slightly against––90% of Democrats, 42% of independents, and 7% of Republicans support impeachment. The CNN poll also shows 47% supporting impeachment and removal, with 74% of Democrats, 14% of Republicans, and 46% of independents supporting it. Support for impeachment has grown 6 points since CNN last asked the question in May…. The Quinnipiac poll is the most recently conducted of these three surveys.
CBS News poll:
Do you approve or disapprove of Congressional Democrats starting an impeachment inquiry into Donald
RON’S COMMENT: 87% of Democrats, 49% of independents and 23% of Republicans approve of the inquiry.
How did you feel when you heard Congressional Democrats were starting an impeachment inquiry into Donald Trump?
Glad it happened: 33%
Satisfied, but not glad: 25%
Dissatisfied, but not angry: 17%
Angry about it: 25%
RON’S COMMENT: 3% of Democrats, 25% of independents and 53% of Republicans are angry about the inquiry.
From what you have heard or read so far about Donald Trump’s handling of matters concerning Ukraine, do you think Donald Trump’s actions have been…
Not proper, but legal: 31%
RON’S COMMENT: 77% of Democrats, 36% of independents and 7% of Republicans say Trump’s actions are illegal.
From what you have heard or read so far about Donald Trump’s handling of matters concerning Ukraine, do you think Donald Trump deserves to be impeached over his actions, does not deserve to be impeached over his actions, or is it too soon to say?
Deserves to be impeached over his actions: 42%
Does not deserve to be impeached over his actions: 36%
It’s too soon to say: 22%
RON’S COMMENT: 75% of Democrats, 39% of independents and 16% of Republicans say Trump deserves to be impeached.
Compared to how past Presidents have dealt with foreign countries, do you feel Donald Trump’s dealings with Ukraine are probably…
Typical, the kind of thing most Presidents probably do with foreign countries: 43%
Unusual, something that few or no other Presidents have done with foreign countries: 57%
RON’S COMMENT: 85% of Democrats, 52% of independents and 29% of Republicans say it’s unusual.
BIDENS AND UKRAINE
Among voters nationwide
How much have you heard or read about Donald Trump’s assertions concerning Joe Biden, Joe Biden’s son, and Ukraine?
A lot: 36%
Not much/none: 26%
From what you have heard or read so far about Donald Trump’s assertions concerning Joe Biden, do you think the assertions about Biden are deserving of further investigation, not deserving of further investigation, or is it too soon to say?
Deserving of further investigation: 43%
Not deserving of further investigation: 28%
It’s too soon to say: 29%
RON’S COMMENT: 28% of Democrats, 49% of independents and 63% of Republicans say Trump’s assertions about the Bidens and Ukraine are deserving of further investigation.
Which former president of France once operated a forklift for Anheuser-Busch, prepared banana splits at Howard Johnson’s and drove a taxi cab in New Orleans?
(See answer below)
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
IMPEACHMENT: CBS News/YouGov, Sept. 26-27; Quinnipiac, Sept. 27-29; CNN, Sept. 24-29
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: Politico/Morning Consult, Sept.
BIDENS AND UKRAINE:CBS News/YouGov, Sept. 26-27
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.
Jacques Chirac. President of France from 1995 to 2007, he died Thursday.
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