Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, September 5, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Up 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on three polls, ranging from 43% (Reuters) to 46% (The Economist, Rasmussen). President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (-1 from yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating.
WISCONSIN: PRESIDENT
Among voters statewide
Among all general election voters:
Joe Biden (D) over Donald Trump (R): +9 (51-42)
Bernie Sanders (I/D) over Donald Trump (R): +4 (48-44)
Elizabeth Warren (D) and Donald Trump (R): even (45-45)
Kamala Harris (D) and Donald Trump (R): even (44-44)
RON’S COMMENT: This was a critical state for Trump in 2016, a state he won by a small margin. This poll shows Biden with a solid lead and Sanders with a more modest advantage. Trump’s job rating in Wisconsin is 45% approve/53% disapprove.
Among Democratic primary voters statewide:
Joe Biden: 28%
Bernie Sanders: 20%
Elizabeth Warren: 17%
Pete Buttigieg: 6%
Kamala Harris: 3%
Andrew Yang: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden holds the lead in the Wisconsin primary, with Sanders and Warren vying for second place.
CLIMATE CHANGE
Among voters nationwide
On the subject of climate change do you think…?
The world’s climate is changing as a result of human activity: 60%
The world’s climate is changing but NOT because of human activity: 32%
The world’s climate is NOT changing: 9%
RON’S COMMENT: 83% of Democrats, 59% of independents, 37% of Republicans, 59% of men, 62% of women, 70% of voters 18-29, 54% of voters 65+, 59% of whites, 66% of blacks and 62% of Hispanics say climate is changing as a result of human activity.
How concerned are you about climate change?
Very/somewhat concerned: 66%
Not so/not at all concerned: 32%
RON’S COMMENT: 89% of Democrats, 58% of independents, 44% of Republicans, 60% of men, 69% of women, 73% of voters 18-29, 60% of voters 65+, 60% of whites, 76% of blacks and 70% of Hispanics say they’re very or somewhat concerned.
STATUE OF LIBERTY MESSAGE
Among voters nationwide
On the base of the Statue of Liberty the following words appear: “Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, The wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!” Do you think this message…
Statue of Liberty’s message: Applied in the past?
Yes: 69%
No: 14%
Statue of Liberty’s message: Applies right now in the present?
Yes: 41%
No: 37%
Statue of Liberty’s message: Should apply in the future?
Yes: 54%
No: 23%
RON’S COMMENT: About the same percentage of Democrats and Republicans say the Statue of Liberty’s message applied in the past and applies now. But, 72% of Democrats and 43% of Republicans say it should apply in the future.
WISCONSIN: STATE OFFICIALS
Among voters statewide
Gov. Tony Evers (D) job rating:
Approve: 54%
Disapprove: 34%
Sen. Ron Johnson (R) favorability rating:
Favorable: 40%
Unfavorable: 29%
Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) favorability rating:
Favorable: 44%
Unfavorable: 40%
RON’S COMMENT: Evers was elected governor last year, defeating GOP incumbent Scott Walker. Johnson is up for re-election in 2022 and Baldwin is up in 2024.
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
WISCONSIN: Marquette, Aug. 25-29
CLIMATE CHANGE, STATUE OF LIBERTY MESSAGE: The Economist/YouGov, Sept. 1-3
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