The Quinnipiac University poll shows that Joe Biden would top President Donald Trump by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent, in a general election matchup in Texas, an outcome the ruby red state hasn’t seen in four decades, Politico writes.
While Biden is the only Democratic presidential candidate to beat Trump in a head-to-head matchup in Texas, the poll signals trouble for the President there in that it found five other candidates within the poll’s margin of error, including home-state politicians Beto O’Rourke and Julián Castro.
The next strongest candidate in the state was Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, who the poll found losing to the President by only 1 point, 46 percent to 45 percent. Next was South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, whose rising star landed him within 2 points of Trump in a head-to-head matchup.
Among Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the poll found that Biden continues to hold a commanding lead in the primary field, with 30 percent of voters backing Biden, followed by 16 percent for O’Rourke, 15 percent for Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and 11 percent for Warren, Politico adds.
Senator Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) and Castro were far behind with 4 percent each, followed by Buttigieg with 3 percent. No other Democrat topped 2 percent in the poll.
But as the President continues to struggle in the Rust Belt states that handed him the White House in 2016, in part due to Biden’s popularity with working-class voters, his campaign has begun to seek out alternate paths to a second term, including plans to compete in blue states like New Mexico, Nevada and New Hampshire.
O’Rourke has previously caught flak for his insistence than Texas and its 38 Electoral College votes could be in play in next year’s election, but Biden’s strong performance in the GOP stronghold will bolster his argument that he is the most electable 2020 Democrat, Politico noted.
The Quinnipiac poll surveyed 1,159 Texas voters from May 29 to June 4, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Among 407 Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 5.8 percentage points.