Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, January 22, 2018
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 42%
Same as Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 39% (Pew) to 45% (The Economist). Without these two extremes, it would still be 42%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 55% today, which is 13 points higher than his approval rating.
Among voters nationwide
Thinking about the 2020 election, do you definitely plan to vote for Donald Trump for reelection as president or do you definitely plan to vote against him?
Definitely vote for President Trump: 30%
Definitely vote against him: 57%
RON’S COMMENT: While 69% of Republicans and 5% of Democrats say they’re definitely voting for President Trump, 25% of independents say so…. According to this poll, a surprisingly sizable 21% of Republicans say they’re unsure…. At roughly the same point before the 2012 election, 37% of voters said they’d definitely vote to re-elect President Obama and 44% said they’d definitely vote against him.
Among Democratic voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 76%/12%
Bernie Sanders: 57%/28%
Elizabeth Warren: 53%/17%
Cory Booker: 40%/10%
Beto O’Rourke: 39%/10%
Kamala Harris: 36%/10%
Michael Bloomberg: 27%/27%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 22%/14%
Amy Klobuchar: 21%/8%
Julián Castro: 20%/7%
RON’S COMMENT: Biden wins this early popularity contest among Democratic voters. His favorability is slightly higher among Democratic men than women (77% vs. 75%). He does better among white college grads than white non-grads (83% vs. 71%). Biden does best in suburban areas (84%), and better in big cities (83%) than in rural areas (65%). The former VP’s age doesn’t appear to be hurting him among younger voters: He does slightly better among those under 45 than those 45 or older (76% vs. 75%)…. Of the new faces, Harris, Booker and O’Rourke continue to be well positioned to grow.… Bloomberg does better among white Democrats than black Democrats (34% vs. 15%) and best among voters over 72 years old (37%)…. O’Rourke does better among Democratic men than women (46% vs. 32%). He also does much better among white college grads than white non-grads (55% vs. 25%)…. Sanders does better among men than women (62% vs. 54%)…. Among black Democrats, two-thirds don’t know enough about Booker to rate him. For Harris, It’s 61%. Also, Harris does better with whites than blacks: whites are 39% favorable/7% unfavorable and blacks are 26% favorable/13% unfavorable toward her…. Warren does better with voters 45 and older than among those under 45 (57% vs. 48%).
WORKING ACROSS PARTY LINES
Among voters nationwide
Do you think the Trump administration is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount to work with Democrats in Congress?
Too much: 8%
Too little: 60%
About right amount: 26%
Do you think Democrats in Congress are doing too much, too little, or about the right amount to work with the Trump administration?
Too much: 5%
Too little: 58%
About right amount: 29%
RON’S COMMENT: Solid majorities of voters believe neither Trump nor the Democrats are doing enough to work together.
Which comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right:
I like elected officials who make compromises with people they disagree with: 63%
I like elected officials who stick to their positions: 31%
RON’S COMMENT: Another poll showing most voters favor compromise.
[ASKED OF REPUBLICANS] Which comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right:
- Republicans in Congress have an obligation to support Donald Trump’s policies and programs because he is a Republican president: 46%
- Republicans in Congress do not have an obligation to support Donald Trump’s policies and programs if they disagree with him: 48%
RON’S COMMENT: Republican voters are almost evenly split on this question.
Who was the only U.S. president to become a U.S. senator after he left the presidency?
(See answer below)
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
TRUMP RE-ELECT, FAVORABILITY RATINGS, WORKING ACROSS PARTY LINES: Marist/NPR, PBS: Jan. 10-13
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.
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Andrew Johnson. He served as president 1865-69. He was elected to the Senate in January of 1875, after a hotly contested battle in the Tennessee legislature that took 56 ballots to resolve. He died in July of that same year.
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