LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Rating Women Leaders – Gender Perceptions and Public Office – North Carolina

Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, January 10, 2019

Same as yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Despite recent events, President Trump’s job approval rating remains steady at 44%. Today’s average is based on three polls, ranging from 40% (Reuters) to 47% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would still be 44%….Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today, which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.

Among voters statewide

Joe Biden (D) over Donald Trump (R): +5 (49-44)
Bernie Sanders (D) over Donald Trump (R): +3 (48-45)
Donald Trump (R) and Elizabeth Warren (D): even (46-46)
Donald Trump (R) and Kamala Harris (D): even (45-45)
Donald Trump (R) over Beto O’Rourke (D): +1 (46-45)
Donald Trump (R) over Cory Booker (D): +1 (46-45)

RON’S COMMENT: North Carolina has been a crucial swing state. In 2016, Trump beat Hillary Clinton there 50-46. In today’s poll, Trump is losing to Biden and Sanders, ties Warren and Harris and posts slight leads over O’Rourke and Booker. Note that Trump’s vote doesn’t top 46% in any of the trial heats…. The state has 15 Electoral votes, a nice haul for the eventual winner.

Among voters nationwide 

% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Nikki Haley: 44%/26%
Susan Collins: 27%/33%
Elizabeth Warren: 41%/42%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 36%/38%
Rashida Tlaib: 27%/33%

RON’S COMMENT: The female politician on this list with the best national rating is Republican Haley, she’s clearly net positive. All of the others––Republican Sen. Collins as well as Democratic Sen. Warren and U.S. Reps. Ocasio-Cortez and Tlaib––have ratings that lean to the negative side…. Among Republicans, Haley rates 61% favorable/10% unfavorable––making her a future GOP contender for national office…. Warren, who is running for her party’s presidential nomination, rates 63% favorable/11% unfavorable among Democrats, which is a solidly positive score…. Among Democrats, Ocasio-Cortez rates 54% favorable/10% unfavorable, which makes her an influential spokesperson within her party.

Among voters nationwide

What do you think would be the ideal situation when it comes to the number of women in elected offices? 

  • Having more women than there are now but still not as many women as men: 10%
  • Having about an equal number of women and men: 57%
  • Having more women than men: 8%

RON’S COMMENT: 67% of Democrats, 51% of independents, 46% of Republicans, 49% of men and 60% of women say they want an equal number of women and men in office.

Do you think men or women in high political offices are better at… 

Dealing with immigration policy 
Men are better: 13%
Women are better: 17%
No difference: 59%

Working well under pressure 
Men are better: 16%
Women are better: 18%
No difference: 57%

Maintaining a tone of civility and respect in politics 
Men are better: 10%
Women are better: 30%
No difference: 51%

Handling economic conditions 
Men are better: 12%
Women are better: 16%
No difference: 62%

Working out compromises 
Men are better: 7%
Women are better: 34%
No difference: 51%

Standing up for what they believe in, despite political pressure 
Men are better: 10%
Women are better: 23%
No difference: 57%

Dealing with national security and defense 
Men are better: 26%
Women are better: 10%
No difference: 54%

Creating a safe and respectful workplace 
Men are better: 8%
Women are better: 34%
No difference: 50%

Being persuasive 
Men are better: 10%
Women are better: 20%
No difference: 59%

Being compassionate and empathetic 
Men are better: 3%
Women are better: 52%
No difference: 37%

Serving as a role model for children 
Men are better: 5%
Women are better: 30%
No difference: 57%

Dealing with the federal budget deficit 
Men are better: 8%
Women are better: 15%
No difference: 66%

Being honest and ethical 
Men are better: 4%
Women are better: 24%
No difference: 64%

RON’S COMMENT: On most issues, a majority of voters say the public official’s gender makes no difference to them. But among voters who do perceive a difference, women politicians are wiping out male politicians. Men only lead on dealing with national security and defense. Women are strongest on being compassionate and empathetic. However, there are only minor differences on immigration, working well under pressure and handling economic conditions––making these a wash given the big majorities of voters who say gender makes no difference on them.

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.

L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans

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