LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Mississippi – Reaction to House Elections – Climate Change

Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, November 26, 2018

Down 1 from Nov. 16

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 39% (CBS) to 51% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would be 43%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today, which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.

Among voters statewide

Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R): 54% over Mike Espy (D): +10 (54-44)

RON’S COMMENT: Republican Hyde-Smith posts a clear lead in this poll for the Mississippi Senate runoff. The survey finds that Hyde-Smith is leading whites 84-15. Democrat Espy is leading blacks––who account for 32% of the sample––by 98-1. The only other poll we have seen is the NBC/Marist poll taken in mid-October before the Nov. 6 election that showed Hyde-Smith leading Espy by 14 points in a two-way match-up…. The runoff is tomorrow.

Among voters nationwide

How do you feel about the Democrats winning control of the U.S. House of Representatives? 

Happy: 39%
Neither happy nor sad: 16%
Unhappy: 33%

RON’S COMMENT: 37% of men, 43% of women, 84% of Democrats, 28% of independents and 8% of Republicans say Democrats winning control of the U.S. House makes them happy.

Among voters nationwide

What do you think should be the main focus of the new Congress? 

Immigration reform: 22%
Healthcare reform: 18%
Government oversight and investigation: 12%
Balancing the budget: 11%
Gun control: 7%
Impeachment: 7%
Improving infrastructure: 6%
Increasing the minimum wage: 3%
Entitlement reform: 2%
Something else: 6%
Not sure: 7%

RON’S COMMENT: Democrats picked healthcare reform (25%) and government oversight and investigation (20%) as their two top issues. Republicans picked immigration reform (35%) and balancing the budget (20%).

Among voters nationwide 

How serious a problem do you think climate change is? 

Very serious: 46%
Somewhat serious: 19%
Not very serious: 30%
Not sure: 4%

RON’S COMMENT: 91% of Democrats, 62% of independents and 37% of Republicans say climate change is a “very serious” or “somewhat serious” problem.
(The first version we sent out incorrectly referred to “62% of Republicans and 37% of Republicans.”)

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
MISSISSIPPI:RRH Elections/Bold Blue Campaigns/JMC, Nov. 19-24
CLIMATE CHANGE: The Economist/YouGov, Nov. 18-20

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